Abdul El-Sayed holds a modest polling edge over Mike Rogers in aggregates for Michigan’s open Senate seat, with recent surveys showing the Democrat at 45-47% and the Republican at 43-46% among likely voters. El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary by a narrow margin after a contest marked by heavy outside spending and ideological divides, positioning him as the progressive standard-bearer in a state where Democrats have won every Senate race since 1994. Rogers, the unopposed Republican nominee and 2024 Senate candidate, benefits from strong support among older and rural voters but trails in key demographics such as younger voters and Black voters. Forecasters rate the November 3 contest a toss-up or slight Democratic lean, and Polymarket traders’ 65% consensus for El-Sayed aligns with these narrow polling trends and historical patterns in the battleground.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$833,466 Vol.
$833,466 Vol.

アブドル・エル=サイード(民主党)
65%

マイク・ロジャーズ(共和党)
34%
$833,466 Vol.
$833,466 Vol.

アブドル・エル=サイード(民主党)
65%

マイク・ロジャーズ(共和党)
34%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
リゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Abdul El-Sayed holds a modest polling edge over Mike Rogers in aggregates for Michigan’s open Senate seat, with recent surveys showing the Democrat at 45-47% and the Republican at 43-46% among likely voters. El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary by a narrow margin after a contest marked by heavy outside spending and ideological divides, positioning him as the progressive standard-bearer in a state where Democrats have won every Senate race since 1994. Rogers, the unopposed Republican nominee and 2024 Senate candidate, benefits from strong support among older and rural voters but trails in key demographics such as younger voters and Black voters. Forecasters rate the November 3 contest a toss-up or slight Democratic lean, and Polymarket traders’ 65% consensus for El-Sayed aligns with these narrow polling trends and historical patterns in the battleground.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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