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icon for ミネソタ州上院選挙の勝者

ミネソタ州上院選挙の勝者

icon for ミネソタ州上院選挙の勝者

ミネソタ州上院選挙の勝者

Polymarket

$68,624 Vol.

Polymarket

$68,624 Vol.

icon for ペギー・フラナガン(民主党)

ペギー・フラナガン(民主党)

$49,979 Vol.

92%

icon for ミシェル・タフォヤ(共和党)

ミシェル・タフォヤ(共和党)

$18,645 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Peggy Flanagan holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Minnesota’s open U.S. Senate seat due to the state’s consistent Democratic performance in federal races and her decisive August primary victory over Rep. Angie Craig. As lieutenant governor, Flanagan benefits from statewide name recognition and endorsements from outgoing Sen. Tina Smith and progressive organizations, while Republicans have not won a Senate election in Minnesota since 2002. Michele Tafoya, the Republican nominee and former broadcaster, secured her nomination but enters the general election with less political experience. Recent early-September polling shows a narrower contest than implied probabilities suggest, with Flanagan ahead by low single digits. Potential shifts could arise from higher Republican turnout in rural areas, late campaign developments, or voter reaction to state-level issues such as public-funds fraud. The November 3 election remains weeks away.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$68,624
終了日
2026/11/03
マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Peggy Flanagan holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Minnesota’s open U.S. Senate seat due to the state’s consistent Democratic performance in federal races and her decisive August primary victory over Rep. Angie Craig. As lieutenant governor, Flanagan benefits from statewide name recognition and endorsements from outgoing Sen. Tina Smith and progressive organizations, while Republicans have not won a Senate election in Minnesota since 2002. Michele Tafoya, the Republican nominee and former broadcaster, secured her nomination but enters the general election with less political experience. Recent early-September polling shows a narrower contest than implied probabilities suggest, with Flanagan ahead by low single digits. Potential shifts could arise from higher Republican turnout in rural areas, late campaign developments, or voter reaction to state-level issues such as public-funds fraud. The November 3 election remains weeks away.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$68,624
終了日
2026/11/03
マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x2F5e3684c...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ミネソタ州上院選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ペギー・フラナガン(民主党)」で92%、次いで「ミシェル・タフォヤ(共和党)」が9%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、92¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に92%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ミネソタ州上院選挙の勝者」は$68.6Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Oct 13, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ミネソタ州上院選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ミネソタ州上院選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「ペギー・フラナガン(民主党)」で92%であり、市場がこの結果に92%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ミシェル・タフォヤ(共和党)」で9%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ミネソタ州上院選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。