Pete Stauber maintains a strong position in Minnesota’s 8th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election. The district’s R+7 partisan voting index and Stauber's 58% victory in 2024 provide a durable baseline advantage. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Both candidates cleared their August 11 primaries by wide margins, with Stauber defeating Anthony Hamilton and Swanson besting Luke Gulbranson. Stauber’s substantial fundraising edge—roughly $2 million raised versus Swanson’s $300,000-plus—further bolsters his position. Swanson, a former federal immigration official, emphasizes local concerns such as affordability and mining policy, yet no public head-to-head polling has emerged to challenge the consensus Republican lean. Trader pricing reflects these structural and resource factors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$21,150 Vol.
$21,150 Vol.
2026/11/02
ピート・スタウバー（共和党）
86%
トリナ・スワンソン（民主党）
14%
$21,150 Vol.
$21,150 Vol.
2026/11/02
ピート・スタウバー（共和党）
$11,278 Vol.
86%
トリナ・スワンソン（民主党）
$9,873 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pete Stauber maintains a strong position in Minnesota’s 8th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election. The district’s R+7 partisan voting index and Stauber's 58% victory in 2024 provide a durable baseline advantage. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Both candidates cleared their August 11 primaries by wide margins, with Stauber defeating Anthony Hamilton and Swanson besting Luke Gulbranson. Stauber’s substantial fundraising edge—roughly $2 million raised versus Swanson’s $300,000-plus—further bolsters his position. Swanson, a former federal immigration official, emphasizes local concerns such as affordability and mining policy, yet no public head-to-head polling has emerged to challenge the consensus Republican lean. Trader pricing reflects these structural and resource factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$21,150終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pete Stauber maintains a strong position in Minnesota’s 8th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election. The district’s R+7 partisan voting index and Stauber's 58% victory in 2024 provide a durable baseline advantage. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Both candidates cleared their August 11 primaries by wide margins, with Stauber defeating Anthony Hamilton and Swanson besting Luke Gulbranson. Stauber’s substantial fundraising edge—roughly $2 million raised versus Swanson’s $300,000-plus—further bolsters his position. Swanson, a former federal immigration official, emphasizes local concerns such as affordability and mining policy, yet no public head-to-head polling has emerged to challenge the consensus Republican lean. Trader pricing reflects these structural and resource factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$21,150終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Pete Stauber maintains a strong position in Minnesota’s 8th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election. The district’s R+7 partisan voting index and Stauber's 58% victory in 2024 provide a durable baseline advantage. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Both candidates cleared their August 11 primaries by wide margins, with Stauber defeating Anthony Hamilton and Swanson besting Luke Gulbranson. Stauber’s substantial fundraising edge—roughly $2 million raised versus Swanson’s $300,000-plus—further bolsters his position. Swanson, a former federal immigration official, emphasizes local concerns such as affordability and mining policy, yet no public head-to-head polling has emerged to challenge the consensus Republican lean. Trader pricing reflects these structural and resource factors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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