Incumbent Jamie Raskin secured the Democratic nomination with over 92 percent of the primary vote in Maryland's 8th congressional district, facing Republican nominee Cheryl Riley in the November general election. The district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in consistent "Safe D" or "Solid D" ratings from multiple forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 95.7 percent. Raskin's substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $7 million compared to minimal Republican totals, combined with the area's voting history and lack of competitive polling, reinforces this positioning. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen developments such as candidate health events or a pronounced national partisan swing, though structural factors limit their likelihood in this cycle.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$27,431 Vol.
$27,431 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジェイミー・ラスキン（民主党）
96%
シェリル・ライリー（共和党）
4%
$27,431 Vol.
$27,431 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジェイミー・ラスキン（民主党）
$18,904 Vol.
96%
シェリル・ライリー（共和党）
$8,528 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jamie Raskin secured the Democratic nomination with over 92 percent of the primary vote in Maryland's 8th congressional district, facing Republican nominee Cheryl Riley in the November general election. The district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in consistent "Safe D" or "Solid D" ratings from multiple forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 95.7 percent. Raskin's substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $7 million compared to minimal Republican totals, combined with the area's voting history and lack of competitive polling, reinforces this positioning. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen developments such as candidate health events or a pronounced national partisan swing, though structural factors limit their likelihood in this cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$27,431終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jamie Raskin secured the Democratic nomination with over 92 percent of the primary vote in Maryland's 8th congressional district, facing Republican nominee Cheryl Riley in the November general election. The district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in consistent "Safe D" or "Solid D" ratings from multiple forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 95.7 percent. Raskin's substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $7 million compared to minimal Republican totals, combined with the area's voting history and lack of competitive polling, reinforces this positioning. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen developments such as candidate health events or a pronounced national partisan swing, though structural factors limit their likelihood in this cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$27,431終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Jamie Raskin secured the Democratic nomination with over 92 percent of the primary vote in Maryland's 8th congressional district, facing Republican nominee Cheryl Riley in the November general election. The district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in consistent "Safe D" or "Solid D" ratings from multiple forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 95.7 percent. Raskin's substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $7 million compared to minimal Republican totals, combined with the area's voting history and lack of competitive polling, reinforces this positioning. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen developments such as candidate health events or a pronounced national partisan swing, though structural factors limit their likelihood in this cycle.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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