Unity's withdrawal from the October 2026 Knesset election on September 4 has driven the market's strong consensus for a sub-0.5% vote share. Founded in August by former Likud figures Gilad Erdan and Yuli Edelstein, the right-wing party consistently polled below the electoral threshold and abandoned alliance efforts, including talks with Blue and White, after failing to gain traction. Candidate list submission deadlines have now passed, leaving no pathway for participation. Traders price in near-certainty of negligible support given these confirmed developments. Late re-entry via court intervention or an unforeseen merger remains a remote possibility that could shift the outcome, though no such moves are currently underway.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日0.5%未満 97.5%
0.5～0.75％ 1.1%
0.75〜1% <1%
1～2％ <1%
新規
新規
2026/11/30
0.5%未満
98%
0.5～0.75％
1%
0.75〜1%
1%
1～2％
1%
2%以上
<1%
0.5%未満 97.5%
0.5～0.75％ 1.1%
0.75〜1% <1%
1～2％ <1%
新規
新規
2026/11/30
0.5%未満
$596 Vol.
98%
0.5～0.75％
$162 Vol.
1%
0.75〜1%
$109 Vol.
1%
1～2％
$112 Vol.
1%
2%以上
$176 Vol.
<1%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Unity's withdrawal from the October 2026 Knesset election on September 4 has driven the market's strong consensus for a sub-0.5% vote share. Founded in August by former Likud figures Gilad Erdan and Yuli Edelstein, the right-wing party consistently polled below the electoral threshold and abandoned alliance efforts, including talks with Blue and White, after failing to gain traction. Candidate list submission deadlines have now passed, leaving no pathway for participation. Traders price in near-certainty of negligible support given these confirmed developments. Late re-entry via court intervention or an unforeseen merger remains a remote possibility that could shift the outcome, though no such moves are currently underway.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
マーケット開始日： Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
音量
$1,155終了日
2026/10/27マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ETLegislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Unity's withdrawal from the October 2026 Knesset election on September 4 has driven the market's strong consensus for a sub-0.5% vote share. Founded in August by former Likud figures Gilad Erdan and Yuli Edelstein, the right-wing party consistently polled below the electoral threshold and abandoned alliance efforts, including talks with Blue and White, after failing to gain traction. Candidate list submission deadlines have now passed, leaving no pathway for participation. Traders price in near-certainty of negligible support given these confirmed developments. Late re-entry via court intervention or an unforeseen merger remains a remote possibility that could shift the outcome, though no such moves are currently underway.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
音量
$1,155終了日
2026/10/27マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ETUnity's withdrawal from the October 2026 Knesset election on September 4 has driven the market's strong consensus for a sub-0.5% vote share. Founded in August by former Likud figures Gilad Erdan and Yuli Edelstein, the right-wing party consistently polled below the electoral threshold and abandoned alliance efforts, including talks with Blue and White, after failing to gain traction. Candidate list submission deadlines have now passed, leaving no pathway for participation. Traders price in near-certainty of negligible support given these confirmed developments. Late re-entry via court intervention or an unforeseen merger remains a remote possibility that could shift the outcome, though no such moves are currently underway.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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