Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad enters the November 3 general election with strong positioning in Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District, backed by an R+6 partisan voting index and his 2024 reelection margin of 17 points. His August primary victory with over 90% of the vote demonstrated unified Republican support across southern Minnesota counties. Democrat Jake Johnson, a high school math teacher who secured his nomination with roughly 82% in the August primary, has narrowed the gap through competitive fundraising near $2 million each, frequent public town halls, and an endorsement from former Republican Governor Arne Carlson. Forecasters rate the race Likely Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent GOP tilt since 2018 and limited recent polling showing Finstad ahead by mid-single to low-double digits. Trader consensus aligns with these structural and campaign factors eight weeks before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$42,119 Vol.
$42,119 Vol.
2026/11/02
ブラッド・フィンスタッド（共和党）
82%
ジェイク・ジョンソン（民主党）
18%
$42,119 Vol.
$42,119 Vol.
2026/11/02
ブラッド・フィンスタッド（共和党）
$15,932 Vol.
82%
ジェイク・ジョンソン（民主党）
$26,187 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad enters the November 3 general election with strong positioning in Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District, backed by an R+6 partisan voting index and his 2024 reelection margin of 17 points. His August primary victory with over 90% of the vote demonstrated unified Republican support across southern Minnesota counties. Democrat Jake Johnson, a high school math teacher who secured his nomination with roughly 82% in the August primary, has narrowed the gap through competitive fundraising near $2 million each, frequent public town halls, and an endorsement from former Republican Governor Arne Carlson. Forecasters rate the race Likely Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent GOP tilt since 2018 and limited recent polling showing Finstad ahead by mid-single to low-double digits. Trader consensus aligns with these structural and campaign factors eight weeks before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$42,119終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad enters the November 3 general election with strong positioning in Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District, backed by an R+6 partisan voting index and his 2024 reelection margin of 17 points. His August primary victory with over 90% of the vote demonstrated unified Republican support across southern Minnesota counties. Democrat Jake Johnson, a high school math teacher who secured his nomination with roughly 82% in the August primary, has narrowed the gap through competitive fundraising near $2 million each, frequent public town halls, and an endorsement from former Republican Governor Arne Carlson. Forecasters rate the race Likely Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent GOP tilt since 2018 and limited recent polling showing Finstad ahead by mid-single to low-double digits. Trader consensus aligns with these structural and campaign factors eight weeks before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$42,119終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad enters the November 3 general election with strong positioning in Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District, backed by an R+6 partisan voting index and his 2024 reelection margin of 17 points. His August primary victory with over 90% of the vote demonstrated unified Republican support across southern Minnesota counties. Democrat Jake Johnson, a high school math teacher who secured his nomination with roughly 82% in the August primary, has narrowed the gap through competitive fundraising near $2 million each, frequent public town halls, and an endorsement from former Republican Governor Arne Carlson. Forecasters rate the race Likely Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent GOP tilt since 2018 and limited recent polling showing Finstad ahead by mid-single to low-double digits. Trader consensus aligns with these structural and campaign factors eight weeks before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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