Ilhan Omar holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 5th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, driven by the area's consistent Democratic-Farmer-Labor dominance, her status as incumbent since 2019, and a decisive August 11 primary victory where she captured over 80 percent against four challengers. The district delivered Democratic presidential margins exceeding 60 points in recent cycles and supported Omar by roughly 50 points in 2024. Republican nominee John Nagel, a retired police officer who prevailed in a crowded primary, faces structural headwinds with limited name recognition and fundraising relative to the incumbent. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals alongside the absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign disruptions. A significant late development, such as an unforeseen scandal or health event, would be required to alter the outcome in any material way.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$49,924 Vol.
$49,924 Vol.
2026/11/03
イルハン・オマル（民主党）
95%
ジョン・ネーゲル（共和党）
5%
$49,924 Vol.
$49,924 Vol.
2026/11/03
イルハン・オマル（民主党）
$18,257 Vol.
95%
ジョン・ネーゲル（共和党）
$31,668 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ilhan Omar holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 5th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, driven by the area's consistent Democratic-Farmer-Labor dominance, her status as incumbent since 2019, and a decisive August 11 primary victory where she captured over 80 percent against four challengers. The district delivered Democratic presidential margins exceeding 60 points in recent cycles and supported Omar by roughly 50 points in 2024. Republican nominee John Nagel, a retired police officer who prevailed in a crowded primary, faces structural headwinds with limited name recognition and fundraising relative to the incumbent. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals alongside the absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign disruptions. A significant late development, such as an unforeseen scandal or health event, would be required to alter the outcome in any material way.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$49,924終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ilhan Omar holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 5th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, driven by the area's consistent Democratic-Farmer-Labor dominance, her status as incumbent since 2019, and a decisive August 11 primary victory where she captured over 80 percent against four challengers. The district delivered Democratic presidential margins exceeding 60 points in recent cycles and supported Omar by roughly 50 points in 2024. Republican nominee John Nagel, a retired police officer who prevailed in a crowded primary, faces structural headwinds with limited name recognition and fundraising relative to the incumbent. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals alongside the absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign disruptions. A significant late development, such as an unforeseen scandal or health event, would be required to alter the outcome in any material way.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$49,924終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Ilhan Omar holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 5th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, driven by the area's consistent Democratic-Farmer-Labor dominance, her status as incumbent since 2019, and a decisive August 11 primary victory where she captured over 80 percent against four challengers. The district delivered Democratic presidential margins exceeding 60 points in recent cycles and supported Omar by roughly 50 points in 2024. Republican nominee John Nagel, a retired police officer who prevailed in a crowded primary, faces structural headwinds with limited name recognition and fundraising relative to the incumbent. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals alongside the absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign disruptions. A significant late development, such as an unforeseen scandal or health event, would be required to alter the outcome in any material way.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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