Microsoft shares closed at $493.95 on September 8 after a 1.15% decline, trading within the $490–$500 range that holds the highest market-implied probability at 32.5%. The pullback followed fresh lawsuits from news publishers over AI training data usage alongside OpenAI, tempering gains from July’s earnings beat that delivered $90.01 billion in revenue and $4.74 adjusted EPS. Azure’s 43% year-over-year growth and annualized run rate above $100 billion remain core supports, though elevated capital spending and sector-wide AI valuation scrutiny have kept the stock range-bound near recent session lows. With the next earnings release scheduled for late October and analyst price targets clustered around $570, trader positioning reflects uncertainty over near-term momentum versus longer-term cloud and AI monetization trends.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$490～$500 34%
$480～$490 22%
$500〜$510 21%
450ドル未満 10.3%
新規
新規
2026/09/11
450ドル未満
10%
$450～$460
7%
$460～$470
7%
$470～$480
9%
$480～$490
22%
$490～$500
34%
$500〜$510
21%
$510-$520
8%
$520～$530
7%
$530～$540
6%
540ドル超
10%
$490～$500 34%
$480～$490 22%
$500〜$510 21%
450ドル未満 10.3%
新規
新規
2026/09/11
450ドル未満
$11 Vol.
10%
$450～$460
$0 Vol.
7%
$460～$470
$0 Vol.
7%
$470～$480
$0 Vol.
9%
$480～$490
$0 Vol.
22%
$490～$500
$0 Vol.
34%
$500〜$510
$0 Vol.
21%
$510-$520
$16 Vol.
8%
$520～$530
$0 Vol.
7%
$530～$540
$0 Vol.
6%
540ドル超
$11 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.Microsoft shares closed at $493.95 on September 8 after a 1.15% decline, trading within the $490–$500 range that holds the highest market-implied probability at 32.5%. The pullback followed fresh lawsuits from news publishers over AI training data usage alongside OpenAI, tempering gains from July’s earnings beat that delivered $90.01 billion in revenue and $4.74 adjusted EPS. Azure’s 43% year-over-year growth and annualized run rate above $100 billion remain core supports, though elevated capital spending and sector-wide AI valuation scrutiny have kept the stock range-bound near recent session lows. With the next earnings release scheduled for late October and analyst price targets clustered around $570, trader positioning reflects uncertainty over near-term momentum versus longer-term cloud and AI monetization trends.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
マーケット開始日： Sep 4, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
音量
$37終了日
2026/09/11マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 6:00 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.Microsoft shares closed at $493.95 on September 8 after a 1.15% decline, trading within the $490–$500 range that holds the highest market-implied probability at 32.5%. The pullback followed fresh lawsuits from news publishers over AI training data usage alongside OpenAI, tempering gains from July’s earnings beat that delivered $90.01 billion in revenue and $4.74 adjusted EPS. Azure’s 43% year-over-year growth and annualized run rate above $100 billion remain core supports, though elevated capital spending and sector-wide AI valuation scrutiny have kept the stock range-bound near recent session lows. With the next earnings release scheduled for late October and analyst price targets clustered around $570, trader positioning reflects uncertainty over near-term momentum versus longer-term cloud and AI monetization trends.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
音量
$37終了日
2026/09/11マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 6:00 PM ETMicrosoft shares closed at $493.95 on September 8 after a 1.15% decline, trading within the $490–$500 range that holds the highest market-implied probability at 32.5%. The pullback followed fresh lawsuits from news publishers over AI training data usage alongside OpenAI, tempering gains from July’s earnings beat that delivered $90.01 billion in revenue and $4.74 adjusted EPS. Azure’s 43% year-over-year growth and annualized run rate above $100 billion remain core supports, though elevated capital spending and sector-wide AI valuation scrutiny have kept the stock range-bound near recent session lows. With the next earnings release scheduled for late October and analyst price targets clustered around $570, trader positioning reflects uncertainty over near-term momentum versus longer-term cloud and AI monetization trends.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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