Brad Knott holds a strong position as the Republican incumbent in North Carolina's 13th congressional district, which carries an R+8 partisan lean and has been rated Solid or Likely Republican by forecasters. Knott secured the nomination with nearly 90 percent in the March primary and benefits from incumbency advantages ahead of the November 3 general election. Paul Barringer, the Democratic nominee who won his March primary with 59 percent, faces structural headwinds in a district where recent election results and voter registration patterns favor Republicans. Trader pricing at 83.5 percent for Knott and 15.5 percent for Barringer aligns with this baseline, as no major polling shifts, candidate controversies, or national developments have altered the competitive landscape in recent weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ブラッド・ノット(共和党)
84%
ポール・バリンジャー(民主党)
16%
ブラッド・ノット(共和党)
84%
ポール・バリンジャー(民主党)
16%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
リゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Brad Knott holds a strong position as the Republican incumbent in North Carolina's 13th congressional district, which carries an R+8 partisan lean and has been rated Solid or Likely Republican by forecasters. Knott secured the nomination with nearly 90 percent in the March primary and benefits from incumbency advantages ahead of the November 3 general election. Paul Barringer, the Democratic nominee who won his March primary with 59 percent, faces structural headwinds in a district where recent election results and voter registration patterns favor Republicans. Trader pricing at 83.5 percent for Knott and 15.5 percent for Barringer aligns with this baseline, as no major polling shifts, candidate controversies, or national developments have altered the competitive landscape in recent weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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