Google's next flagship Gemini Pro model, widely expected to be the long-delayed 3.5 Pro, faces ongoing slippage from its original June 2026 target after I/O teasing, with recent reports citing extra time needed for partner testing, coding improvements, and agentic capabilities. Traders are tracking this against a backdrop of rapid Flash variant releases—including 3.8 Flash in early September—and the start of Gemini 4 pretraining, Google's most ambitious run yet. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic, plus internal benchmarks on long-horizon tasks, continue shaping release timelines, with markets implying a late-October window as the current median amid typical post-training iteration risks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$1,269,091 Vol.
2026/09/15
September 15
3%
September 30
11%
October 31
65%
10月15日
22%
$1,269,091 Vol.
September 15
$12,250 Vol.
3%
September 30
$81,197 Vol.
11%
October 31
$16,248 Vol.
65%
10月15日
$3,312 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's next flagship Gemini Pro model, widely expected to be the long-delayed 3.5 Pro, faces ongoing slippage from its original June 2026 target after I/O teasing, with recent reports citing extra time needed for partner testing, coding improvements, and agentic capabilities. Traders are tracking this against a backdrop of rapid Flash variant releases—including 3.8 Flash in early September—and the start of Gemini 4 pretraining, Google's most ambitious run yet. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic, plus internal benchmarks on long-horizon tasks, continue shaping release timelines, with markets implying a late-October window as the current median amid typical post-training iteration risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 9:16 AM ET
音量
$1,269,091終了日
2026/11/01マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 9:16 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's next flagship Gemini Pro model, widely expected to be the long-delayed 3.5 Pro, faces ongoing slippage from its original June 2026 target after I/O teasing, with recent reports citing extra time needed for partner testing, coding improvements, and agentic capabilities. Traders are tracking this against a backdrop of rapid Flash variant releases—including 3.8 Flash in early September—and the start of Gemini 4 pretraining, Google's most ambitious run yet. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic, plus internal benchmarks on long-horizon tasks, continue shaping release timelines, with markets implying a late-October window as the current median amid typical post-training iteration risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$1,269,091終了日
2026/11/01マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 9:16 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Google's next flagship Gemini Pro model, widely expected to be the long-delayed 3.5 Pro, faces ongoing slippage from its original June 2026 target after I/O teasing, with recent reports citing extra time needed for partner testing, coding improvements, and agentic capabilities. Traders are tracking this against a backdrop of rapid Flash variant releases—including 3.8 Flash in early September—and the start of Gemini 4 pretraining, Google's most ambitious run yet. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic, plus internal benchmarks on long-horizon tasks, continue shaping release timelines, with markets implying a late-October window as the current median amid typical post-training iteration risks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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