Google's July 21, 2026 release of Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite established the current benchmark for its low-latency, high-throughput tier, delivering 350 output tokens per second at $0.30/$2.50 per million input/output tokens while outperforming prior Lite versions on agentic benchmarks like Terminal-Bench and long-context tasks. This model, optimized for subagent workflows, document processing, and cost-sensitive scaling, shipped alongside 3.6 Flash and a restricted 3.5 Flash Cyber variant, reflecting DeepMind's focus on efficiency gains over raw capability in the Flash line. Pre-training for Gemini 4 has begun, and early September 2026 saw a 3.8 Flash update, heightening trader focus on whether a 3.6+ Flash-Lite arrives before year-end amid competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic fast models. Market-implied odds hinge on Google's historical two-to-three-month cadence for Flash iterations and any confirmed API or AI Studio rollout signals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/09/30
9月30日
45%
October 31
51%
11月30日
89%
$5,420 Vol.
9月30日
$3,337 Vol.
45%
October 31
$56 Vol.
51%
11月30日
$2,027 Vol.
89%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini" and "Flash-Lite" and be designated as version 3.6 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.6 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.1 Flash-Lite or Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash-Lite, while models whose name does not include "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.6, such as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash-Lite Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's July 21, 2026 release of Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite established the current benchmark for its low-latency, high-throughput tier, delivering 350 output tokens per second at $0.30/$2.50 per million input/output tokens while outperforming prior Lite versions on agentic benchmarks like Terminal-Bench and long-context tasks. This model, optimized for subagent workflows, document processing, and cost-sensitive scaling, shipped alongside 3.6 Flash and a restricted 3.5 Flash Cyber variant, reflecting DeepMind's focus on efficiency gains over raw capability in the Flash line. Pre-training for Gemini 4 has begun, and early September 2026 saw a 3.8 Flash update, heightening trader focus on whether a 3.6+ Flash-Lite arrives before year-end amid competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic fast models. Market-implied odds hinge on Google's historical two-to-three-month cadence for Flash iterations and any confirmed API or AI Studio rollout signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini" and "Flash-Lite" and be designated as version 3.6 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.6 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.1 Flash-Lite or Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash-Lite, while models whose name does not include "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.6, such as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash-Lite Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini" and "Flash-Lite" and be designated as version 3.6 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.6 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.1 Flash-Lite or Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash-Lite, while models whose name does not include "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.6, such as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash-Lite Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Aug 14, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
音量
$5,420終了日
2026/12/01マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 5:47 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini" and "Flash-Lite" and be designated as version 3.6 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.6 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.1 Flash-Lite or Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash-Lite, while models whose name does not include "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.6, such as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash-Lite Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's July 21, 2026 release of Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite established the current benchmark for its low-latency, high-throughput tier, delivering 350 output tokens per second at $0.30/$2.50 per million input/output tokens while outperforming prior Lite versions on agentic benchmarks like Terminal-Bench and long-context tasks. This model, optimized for subagent workflows, document processing, and cost-sensitive scaling, shipped alongside 3.6 Flash and a restricted 3.5 Flash Cyber variant, reflecting DeepMind's focus on efficiency gains over raw capability in the Flash line. Pre-training for Gemini 4 has begun, and early September 2026 saw a 3.8 Flash update, heightening trader focus on whether a 3.6+ Flash-Lite arrives before year-end amid competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic fast models. Market-implied odds hinge on Google's historical two-to-three-month cadence for Flash iterations and any confirmed API or AI Studio rollout signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini" and "Flash-Lite" and be designated as version 3.6 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.6 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.1 Flash-Lite or Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash-Lite, while models whose name does not include "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.6, such as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash-Lite Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini" and "Flash-Lite" and be designated as version 3.6 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.6 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.1 Flash-Lite or Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash-Lite, while models whose name does not include "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.6, such as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash-Lite Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$5,420終了日
2026/12/01マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 5:47 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Google's July 21, 2026 release of Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite established the current benchmark for its low-latency, high-throughput tier, delivering 350 output tokens per second at $0.30/$2.50 per million input/output tokens while outperforming prior Lite versions on agentic benchmarks like Terminal-Bench and long-context tasks. This model, optimized for subagent workflows, document processing, and cost-sensitive scaling, shipped alongside 3.6 Flash and a restricted 3.5 Flash Cyber variant, reflecting DeepMind's focus on efficiency gains over raw capability in the Flash line. Pre-training for Gemini 4 has begun, and early September 2026 saw a 3.8 Flash update, heightening trader focus on whether a 3.6+ Flash-Lite arrives before year-end amid competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic fast models. Market-implied odds hinge on Google's historical two-to-three-month cadence for Flash iterations and any confirmed API or AI Studio rollout signals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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