Stefany Shaheen holds a commanding lead in the New Hampshire 1st Congressional District general election because the open seat—vacated when Rep. Chris Pappas launched his Senate bid—sits in a district rated lean or likely Democratic by major forecasters. Shaheen, daughter of retiring Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, secured the Democratic nomination in the September 8 primary with strong establishment support and name recognition despite a tight race against Maura Sullivan. On the Republican side, Trump-endorsed businessman Anthony DiLorenzo prevailed in his primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Kamala Harris carried a narrow margin in 2024. Trader consensus reflected in the current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though outcomes could shift with unusually high Republican turnout, late campaign spending surges, or unexpected national political developments before the November 3 vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$15,989 Vol.
$15,989 Vol.
2026/11/03
ステファニー・シェーン（民主党）
92%
アンソニー・ディロレンツォ（共和党）
7%
$15,989 Vol.
$15,989 Vol.
2026/11/03
ステファニー・シェーン（民主党）
$7,913 Vol.
92%
アンソニー・ディロレンツォ（共和党）
$8,075 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Stefany Shaheen holds a commanding lead in the New Hampshire 1st Congressional District general election because the open seat—vacated when Rep. Chris Pappas launched his Senate bid—sits in a district rated lean or likely Democratic by major forecasters. Shaheen, daughter of retiring Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, secured the Democratic nomination in the September 8 primary with strong establishment support and name recognition despite a tight race against Maura Sullivan. On the Republican side, Trump-endorsed businessman Anthony DiLorenzo prevailed in his primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Kamala Harris carried a narrow margin in 2024. Trader consensus reflected in the current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though outcomes could shift with unusually high Republican turnout, late campaign spending surges, or unexpected national political developments before the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
音量
$15,989終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Stefany Shaheen holds a commanding lead in the New Hampshire 1st Congressional District general election because the open seat—vacated when Rep. Chris Pappas launched his Senate bid—sits in a district rated lean or likely Democratic by major forecasters. Shaheen, daughter of retiring Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, secured the Democratic nomination in the September 8 primary with strong establishment support and name recognition despite a tight race against Maura Sullivan. On the Republican side, Trump-endorsed businessman Anthony DiLorenzo prevailed in his primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Kamala Harris carried a narrow margin in 2024. Trader consensus reflected in the current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though outcomes could shift with unusually high Republican turnout, late campaign spending surges, or unexpected national political developments before the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$15,989終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Stefany Shaheen holds a commanding lead in the New Hampshire 1st Congressional District general election because the open seat—vacated when Rep. Chris Pappas launched his Senate bid—sits in a district rated lean or likely Democratic by major forecasters. Shaheen, daughter of retiring Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, secured the Democratic nomination in the September 8 primary with strong establishment support and name recognition despite a tight race against Maura Sullivan. On the Republican side, Trump-endorsed businessman Anthony DiLorenzo prevailed in his primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Kamala Harris carried a narrow margin in 2024. Trader consensus reflected in the current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though outcomes could shift with unusually high Republican turnout, late campaign spending surges, or unexpected national political developments before the November 3 vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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