The strong Democratic lean of New Jersey's 12th congressional district, reflected in its D+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Kamala Harris's 14.5-point margin there in 2024, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic victory. Bonnie Watson Coleman's retirement created an open seat that drew over a dozen Democratic candidates, with surgeon and Army veteran Adam Hamawy prevailing in the June 2026 primary; Republican Gregg Mele ran unopposed on the other side. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with historical patterns in the district covering parts of Mercer, Middlesex, Somerset, and Union counties. A Republican win would require an unusually large national midterm swing, sharply depressed Democratic turnout, or late developments that materially alter the candidate matchup before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$24,371 Vol.
$24,371 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
95%
共和党
5%
$24,371 Vol.
$24,371 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$15,801 Vol.
95%
共和党
$8,570 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of New Jersey's 12th congressional district, reflected in its D+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Kamala Harris's 14.5-point margin there in 2024, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic victory. Bonnie Watson Coleman's retirement created an open seat that drew over a dozen Democratic candidates, with surgeon and Army veteran Adam Hamawy prevailing in the June 2026 primary; Republican Gregg Mele ran unopposed on the other side. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with historical patterns in the district covering parts of Mercer, Middlesex, Somerset, and Union counties. A Republican win would require an unusually large national midterm swing, sharply depressed Democratic turnout, or late developments that materially alter the candidate matchup before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$24,371終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of New Jersey's 12th congressional district, reflected in its D+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Kamala Harris's 14.5-point margin there in 2024, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic victory. Bonnie Watson Coleman's retirement created an open seat that drew over a dozen Democratic candidates, with surgeon and Army veteran Adam Hamawy prevailing in the June 2026 primary; Republican Gregg Mele ran unopposed on the other side. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with historical patterns in the district covering parts of Mercer, Middlesex, Somerset, and Union counties. A Republican win would require an unusually large national midterm swing, sharply depressed Democratic turnout, or late developments that materially alter the candidate matchup before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$24,371終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of New Jersey's 12th congressional district, reflected in its D+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Kamala Harris's 14.5-point margin there in 2024, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic victory. Bonnie Watson Coleman's retirement created an open seat that drew over a dozen Democratic candidates, with surgeon and Army veteran Adam Hamawy prevailing in the June 2026 primary; Republican Gregg Mele ran unopposed on the other side. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with historical patterns in the district covering parts of Mercer, Middlesex, Somerset, and Union counties. A Republican win would require an unusually large national midterm swing, sharply depressed Democratic turnout, or late developments that materially alter the candidate matchup before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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