Rob Menendez secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 by defeating progressive challenger Mussab Ali with roughly 69% of the primary vote in New Jersey’s 8th District, a majority-Hispanic urban area encompassing parts of Hudson, Essex, and Union counties. The incumbent’s strong performance, backed by local party leaders and endorsements from figures such as Senator Andy Kim, has reinforced his position ahead of the November general election. No Republican candidate qualified for the ballot, leaving Menendez to face only independent opponents in a district rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. Recent constituent services, including over $6 million returned through casework and oversight visits on detention facility conditions, have further consolidated support. A late scandal, unusually high independent turnout, or unforeseen turnout shifts remain the primary variables that could alter the current trader consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$16,775 Vol.
$16,775 Vol.
2026/11/02
ロブ・メネンデス（民主党）
95%
共和党
5%
$16,775 Vol.
$16,775 Vol.
2026/11/02
ロブ・メネンデス（民主党）
$9,439 Vol.
95%
共和党
$7,336 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rob Menendez secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 by defeating progressive challenger Mussab Ali with roughly 69% of the primary vote in New Jersey’s 8th District, a majority-Hispanic urban area encompassing parts of Hudson, Essex, and Union counties. The incumbent’s strong performance, backed by local party leaders and endorsements from figures such as Senator Andy Kim, has reinforced his position ahead of the November general election. No Republican candidate qualified for the ballot, leaving Menendez to face only independent opponents in a district rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. Recent constituent services, including over $6 million returned through casework and oversight visits on detention facility conditions, have further consolidated support. A late scandal, unusually high independent turnout, or unforeseen turnout shifts remain the primary variables that could alter the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$16,775終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rob Menendez secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 by defeating progressive challenger Mussab Ali with roughly 69% of the primary vote in New Jersey’s 8th District, a majority-Hispanic urban area encompassing parts of Hudson, Essex, and Union counties. The incumbent’s strong performance, backed by local party leaders and endorsements from figures such as Senator Andy Kim, has reinforced his position ahead of the November general election. No Republican candidate qualified for the ballot, leaving Menendez to face only independent opponents in a district rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. Recent constituent services, including over $6 million returned through casework and oversight visits on detention facility conditions, have further consolidated support. A late scandal, unusually high independent turnout, or unforeseen turnout shifts remain the primary variables that could alter the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$16,775終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Rob Menendez secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 by defeating progressive challenger Mussab Ali with roughly 69% of the primary vote in New Jersey’s 8th District, a majority-Hispanic urban area encompassing parts of Hudson, Essex, and Union counties. The incumbent’s strong performance, backed by local party leaders and endorsements from figures such as Senator Andy Kim, has reinforced his position ahead of the November general election. No Republican candidate qualified for the ballot, leaving Menendez to face only independent opponents in a district rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. Recent constituent services, including over $6 million returned through casework and oversight visits on detention facility conditions, have further consolidated support. A late scandal, unusually high independent turnout, or unforeseen turnout shifts remain the primary variables that could alter the current trader consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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