Incumbent Claudia Tenney holds a commanding lead in New York’s 24th Congressional District, a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, with a Partisan Voter Index of R+11. Tenney’s strong fundraising—more than $2.7 million raised and over $1.3 million cash on hand as of June—contrasts sharply with Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman’s limited resources of roughly $193,000 raised. The district’s consistent Republican performance, including Tenney’s prior margin exceeding 30 points, underpins trader consensus for her re-election on November 3. A late national shift against Republicans, significant scandal, or unexpected Democratic mobilization could narrow the gap, though structural and financial advantages make such outcomes improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$20,577 Vol.
$20,577 Vol.
2026/11/02
クラウディア・テニー（共和党）
93%
アリッサ・エルマン（民主党）
9%
$20,577 Vol.
$20,577 Vol.
2026/11/02
クラウディア・テニー（共和党）
$10,938 Vol.
93%
アリッサ・エルマン（民主党）
$9,639 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Claudia Tenney holds a commanding lead in New York’s 24th Congressional District, a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, with a Partisan Voter Index of R+11. Tenney’s strong fundraising—more than $2.7 million raised and over $1.3 million cash on hand as of June—contrasts sharply with Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman’s limited resources of roughly $193,000 raised. The district’s consistent Republican performance, including Tenney’s prior margin exceeding 30 points, underpins trader consensus for her re-election on November 3. A late national shift against Republicans, significant scandal, or unexpected Democratic mobilization could narrow the gap, though structural and financial advantages make such outcomes improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$20,577終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Claudia Tenney holds a commanding lead in New York’s 24th Congressional District, a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, with a Partisan Voter Index of R+11. Tenney’s strong fundraising—more than $2.7 million raised and over $1.3 million cash on hand as of June—contrasts sharply with Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman’s limited resources of roughly $193,000 raised. The district’s consistent Republican performance, including Tenney’s prior margin exceeding 30 points, underpins trader consensus for her re-election on November 3. A late national shift against Republicans, significant scandal, or unexpected Democratic mobilization could narrow the gap, though structural and financial advantages make such outcomes improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$20,577終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Claudia Tenney holds a commanding lead in New York’s 24th Congressional District, a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, with a Partisan Voter Index of R+11. Tenney’s strong fundraising—more than $2.7 million raised and over $1.3 million cash on hand as of June—contrasts sharply with Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman’s limited resources of roughly $193,000 raised. The district’s consistent Republican performance, including Tenney’s prior margin exceeding 30 points, underpins trader consensus for her re-election on November 3. A late national shift against Republicans, significant scandal, or unexpected Democratic mobilization could narrow the gap, though structural and financial advantages make such outcomes improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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