Ohio's 11th congressional district, anchored in urban Cuyahoga County including Cleveland, maintains a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+28 and has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 70 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Shontel Brown secured her party's nomination with 85.5% in the May 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Republican Mike Kirchner, who prevailed in a low-turnout GOP primary. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic based on the district's demographic profile—predominantly Black and urban with lower median household income—and consistent voting patterns. Traders price Brown near 98% due to these structural factors. A major unforeseen event, such as a significant scandal or health development affecting the incumbent, would be required to materially shift the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$38,426 Vol.
$38,426 Vol.
2026/11/02
ショーンテル・ブラウン（民主党）
99%
マイク・カーチナー（共和党）
1%
$38,426 Vol.
$38,426 Vol.
2026/11/02
ショーンテル・ブラウン（民主党）
$15,629 Vol.
99%
マイク・カーチナー（共和党）
$22,797 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 11th congressional district, anchored in urban Cuyahoga County including Cleveland, maintains a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+28 and has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 70 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Shontel Brown secured her party's nomination with 85.5% in the May 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Republican Mike Kirchner, who prevailed in a low-turnout GOP primary. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic based on the district's demographic profile—predominantly Black and urban with lower median household income—and consistent voting patterns. Traders price Brown near 98% due to these structural factors. A major unforeseen event, such as a significant scandal or health development affecting the incumbent, would be required to materially shift the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$38,426終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 11th congressional district, anchored in urban Cuyahoga County including Cleveland, maintains a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+28 and has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 70 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Shontel Brown secured her party's nomination with 85.5% in the May 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Republican Mike Kirchner, who prevailed in a low-turnout GOP primary. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic based on the district's demographic profile—predominantly Black and urban with lower median household income—and consistent voting patterns. Traders price Brown near 98% due to these structural factors. A major unforeseen event, such as a significant scandal or health development affecting the incumbent, would be required to materially shift the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$38,426終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Ohio's 11th congressional district, anchored in urban Cuyahoga County including Cleveland, maintains a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+28 and has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 70 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Shontel Brown secured her party's nomination with 85.5% in the May 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Republican Mike Kirchner, who prevailed in a low-turnout GOP primary. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic based on the district's demographic profile—predominantly Black and urban with lower median household income—and consistent voting patterns. Traders price Brown near 98% due to these structural factors. A major unforeseen event, such as a significant scandal or health development affecting the incumbent, would be required to materially shift the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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