OPEC+ continues to hold regular ministerial meetings and adjust production targets into September 2026, with core members including Saudi Arabia, Russia, and Iraq maintaining coordination on output quotas despite the UAE’s May exit and disruptions from the Iran conflict. The group has completed phased rollbacks of prior cuts and reaffirmed commitments to market stability, reflecting the institutional incentives for remaining producers to manage supply collectively amid volatile prices and export constraints through the Strait of Hormuz. Prior member departures have not triggered dissolution, and no official moves toward disbanding have emerged. Trader consensus on non-dissolution aligns with this ongoing operational continuity, though further large-scale exits or prolonged regional escalation could still introduce coordination challenges before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
3% 確率
$34,792 Vol.
$34,792 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
3% 確率
$34,792 Vol.
$34,792 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC+ continues to hold regular ministerial meetings and adjust production targets into September 2026, with core members including Saudi Arabia, Russia, and Iraq maintaining coordination on output quotas despite the UAE’s May exit and disruptions from the Iran conflict. The group has completed phased rollbacks of prior cuts and reaffirmed commitments to market stability, reflecting the institutional incentives for remaining producers to manage supply collectively amid volatile prices and export constraints through the Strait of Hormuz. Prior member departures have not triggered dissolution, and no official moves toward disbanding have emerged. Trader consensus on non-dissolution aligns with this ongoing operational continuity, though further large-scale exits or prolonged regional escalation could still introduce coordination challenges before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ET
音量
$34,792終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC+ continues to hold regular ministerial meetings and adjust production targets into September 2026, with core members including Saudi Arabia, Russia, and Iraq maintaining coordination on output quotas despite the UAE’s May exit and disruptions from the Iran conflict. The group has completed phased rollbacks of prior cuts and reaffirmed commitments to market stability, reflecting the institutional incentives for remaining producers to manage supply collectively amid volatile prices and export constraints through the Strait of Hormuz. Prior member departures have not triggered dissolution, and no official moves toward disbanding have emerged. Trader consensus on non-dissolution aligns with this ongoing operational continuity, though further large-scale exits or prolonged regional escalation could still introduce coordination challenges before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$34,792終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...OPEC+ continues to hold regular ministerial meetings and adjust production targets into September 2026, with core members including Saudi Arabia, Russia, and Iraq maintaining coordination on output quotas despite the UAE’s May exit and disruptions from the Iran conflict. The group has completed phased rollbacks of prior cuts and reaffirmed commitments to market stability, reflecting the institutional incentives for remaining producers to manage supply collectively amid volatile prices and export constraints through the Strait of Hormuz. Prior member departures have not triggered dissolution, and no official moves toward disbanding have emerged. Trader consensus on non-dissolution aligns with this ongoing operational continuity, though further large-scale exits or prolonged regional escalation could still introduce coordination challenges before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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