The absence of formal charges against Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor since his February 2026 arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office has anchored trader consensus at a 98.9% probability that he will not face a prison sentence. UK authorities released him under investigation after questioning tied to Epstein-related documents, but the Crown Prosecution Service has not advanced the case despite searches and evidence review. Proving willful abuse of public office as a trade envoy carries a demanding evidentiary standard, with life imprisonment theoretically possible yet rarely imposed in practice. Court backlogs and procedural timelines further reduce near-term prospects. Charging, trial, or conviction could still shift outcomes if new evidence emerges or authorities proceed.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
2% 確率
$222,229 Vol.
$222,229 Vol.
2026/12/30
はい
2% 確率
$222,229 Vol.
$222,229 Vol.
2026/12/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The absence of formal charges against Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor since his February 2026 arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office has anchored trader consensus at a 98.9% probability that he will not face a prison sentence. UK authorities released him under investigation after questioning tied to Epstein-related documents, but the Crown Prosecution Service has not advanced the case despite searches and evidence review. Proving willful abuse of public office as a trade envoy carries a demanding evidentiary standard, with life imprisonment theoretically possible yet rarely imposed in practice. Court backlogs and procedural timelines further reduce near-term prospects. Charging, trial, or conviction could still shift outcomes if new evidence emerges or authorities proceed.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ET
音量
$222,229終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The absence of formal charges against Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor since his February 2026 arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office has anchored trader consensus at a 98.9% probability that he will not face a prison sentence. UK authorities released him under investigation after questioning tied to Epstein-related documents, but the Crown Prosecution Service has not advanced the case despite searches and evidence review. Proving willful abuse of public office as a trade envoy carries a demanding evidentiary standard, with life imprisonment theoretically possible yet rarely imposed in practice. Court backlogs and procedural timelines further reduce near-term prospects. Charging, trial, or conviction could still shift outcomes if new evidence emerges or authorities proceed.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$222,229終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...The absence of formal charges against Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor since his February 2026 arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office has anchored trader consensus at a 98.9% probability that he will not face a prison sentence. UK authorities released him under investigation after questioning tied to Epstein-related documents, but the Crown Prosecution Service has not advanced the case despite searches and evidence review. Proving willful abuse of public office as a trade envoy carries a demanding evidentiary standard, with life imprisonment theoretically possible yet rarely imposed in practice. Court backlogs and procedural timelines further reduce near-term prospects. Charging, trial, or conviction could still shift outcomes if new evidence emerges or authorities proceed.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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