Rhode Island's solidly Democratic political environment and Jack Reed's long incumbency as U.S. senator since 1997 underpin trader consensus favoring his reelection on November 3, 2026. Reed secured the Democratic nomination in the September 9 primary with 76.8% of the vote, while Republican Raymond McKay advanced unopposed. Recent University of New Hampshire polling shows Reed ahead by roughly 18-20 points in the general election, consistent with the state's voting patterns in federal races and ratings from nonpartisan analysts classifying the contest as Solid Democratic. McKay's limited statewide profile and fundraising trail Reed's established support. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or sharp national partisan shift could still influence the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ロードアイランド州上院選挙の勝者
ロードアイランド州上院選挙の勝者
$10,952 Vol.
$10,952 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジャック・リード（民主党）
96%
レイモンド・マッケイ（共和党）
4%
$10,952 Vol.
$10,952 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジャック・リード（民主党）
$6,852 Vol.
96%
レイモンド・マッケイ（共和党）
$4,101 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Rhode Island U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Rhode Island's solidly Democratic political environment and Jack Reed's long incumbency as U.S. senator since 1997 underpin trader consensus favoring his reelection on November 3, 2026. Reed secured the Democratic nomination in the September 9 primary with 76.8% of the vote, while Republican Raymond McKay advanced unopposed. Recent University of New Hampshire polling shows Reed ahead by roughly 18-20 points in the general election, consistent with the state's voting patterns in federal races and ratings from nonpartisan analysts classifying the contest as Solid Democratic. McKay's limited statewide profile and fundraising trail Reed's established support. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or sharp national partisan shift could still influence the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Rhode Island U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
音量
$10,952終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Rhode Island U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Rhode Island's solidly Democratic political environment and Jack Reed's long incumbency as U.S. senator since 1997 underpin trader consensus favoring his reelection on November 3, 2026. Reed secured the Democratic nomination in the September 9 primary with 76.8% of the vote, while Republican Raymond McKay advanced unopposed. Recent University of New Hampshire polling shows Reed ahead by roughly 18-20 points in the general election, consistent with the state's voting patterns in federal races and ratings from nonpartisan analysts classifying the contest as Solid Democratic. McKay's limited statewide profile and fundraising trail Reed's established support. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or sharp national partisan shift could still influence the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Rhode Island U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$10,952終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Rhode Island's solidly Democratic political environment and Jack Reed's long incumbency as U.S. senator since 1997 underpin trader consensus favoring his reelection on November 3, 2026. Reed secured the Democratic nomination in the September 9 primary with 76.8% of the vote, while Republican Raymond McKay advanced unopposed. Recent University of New Hampshire polling shows Reed ahead by roughly 18-20 points in the general election, consistent with the state's voting patterns in federal races and ratings from nonpartisan analysts classifying the contest as Solid Democratic. McKay's limited statewide profile and fundraising trail Reed's established support. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or sharp national partisan shift could still influence the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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