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icon for マサチューセッツ州上院議員選挙の勝者

マサチューセッツ州上院議員選挙の勝者

icon for マサチューセッツ州上院議員選挙の勝者

マサチューセッツ州上院議員選挙の勝者

Polymarket

$48,024 Vol.

Polymarket

$48,024 Vol.

icon for エド・マーキー(民主党)

エド・マーキー(民主党)

$35,054 Vol.

97%

icon for ジョン・ディートン(共和党)

ジョン・ディートン(共和党)

$12,970 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Ed Markey’s commanding position in the Massachusetts Senate race stems from the state’s consistent Democratic dominance in federal contests, reinforced by his September 1 primary victory over Rep. Seth Moulton and double-digit polling leads against Republican John Deaton. Recent surveys, including those from UMass Amherst and the University of New Hampshire, show Markey ahead by roughly 20 points, aligning with historical patterns where Republicans have not won a Senate seat here since 2010. Deaton’s campaign emphasizes outsider appeals and debate challenges, yet faces structural headwinds in a midterm environment favoring the incumbent party. Trader consensus at 97.4% for Markey reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as unexpected national shifts, candidate health events, or turnout anomalies could narrow the gap before the November 3 election.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$48,024
終了日
2026/11/03
マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Ed Markey’s commanding position in the Massachusetts Senate race stems from the state’s consistent Democratic dominance in federal contests, reinforced by his September 1 primary victory over Rep. Seth Moulton and double-digit polling leads against Republican John Deaton. Recent surveys, including those from UMass Amherst and the University of New Hampshire, show Markey ahead by roughly 20 points, aligning with historical patterns where Republicans have not won a Senate seat here since 2010. Deaton’s campaign emphasizes outsider appeals and debate challenges, yet faces structural headwinds in a midterm environment favoring the incumbent party. Trader consensus at 97.4% for Markey reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as unexpected national shifts, candidate health events, or turnout anomalies could narrow the gap before the November 3 election.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$48,024
終了日
2026/11/03
マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x2F5e3684c...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「マサチューセッツ州上院議員選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「エド・マーキー(民主党)」で97%、次いで「ジョン・ディートン(共和党)」が2%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、97¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に97%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「マサチューセッツ州上院議員選挙の勝者」は$48Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Oct 13, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「マサチューセッツ州上院議員選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「マサチューセッツ州上院議員選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「エド・マーキー(民主党)」で97%であり、市場がこの結果に97%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ジョン・ディートン(共和党)」で2%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「マサチューセッツ州上院議員選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。