Oklahoma’s US Senate contest features Republican Kevin Hern facing Democrat N’Kiyla Thomas in a solidly Republican open-seat race projected to produce a wide margin. This dynamic, combined with the state’s historically low participation rates, anchors trader expectations for total ballots near the middle turnout bands. Recent primaries and the August runoff drew only 22–26% of registered voters, underscoring persistent engagement challenges even in higher-profile cycles. With roughly 2.43 million registered voters and no competitive statewide contests to drive mobilization, general-election turnout will hinge on baseline Republican participation and limited Democratic crossover. The narrow spread between the leading 1.1–1.2 million and 1.2–1.3 million vote ranges reflects uncertainty over whether typical midterm patterns or further softening in a non-battleground environment will prevail.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日110万〜120万 48%
120万～130万 45%
100万〜110万 12.7%
140万以上 5.7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
90万未満
1%
90万～100万
1%
100万〜110万
16%
110万〜120万
48%
120万～130万
45%
130万〜140万
5%
140万以上
6%
110万〜120万 48%
120万～130万 45%
100万〜110万 12.7%
140万以上 5.7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
90万未満
$319 Vol.
1%
90万～100万
$249 Vol.
1%
100万〜110万
$207 Vol.
16%
110万〜120万
$1,269 Vol.
48%
120万～130万
$595 Vol.
45%
130万〜140万
$1,805 Vol.
5%
140万以上
$676 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Oklahoma’s US Senate contest features Republican Kevin Hern facing Democrat N’Kiyla Thomas in a solidly Republican open-seat race projected to produce a wide margin. This dynamic, combined with the state’s historically low participation rates, anchors trader expectations for total ballots near the middle turnout bands. Recent primaries and the August runoff drew only 22–26% of registered voters, underscoring persistent engagement challenges even in higher-profile cycles. With roughly 2.43 million registered voters and no competitive statewide contests to drive mobilization, general-election turnout will hinge on baseline Republican participation and limited Democratic crossover. The narrow spread between the leading 1.1–1.2 million and 1.2–1.3 million vote ranges reflects uncertainty over whether typical midterm patterns or further softening in a non-battleground environment will prevail.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
音量
$5,120終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Oklahoma’s US Senate contest features Republican Kevin Hern facing Democrat N’Kiyla Thomas in a solidly Republican open-seat race projected to produce a wide margin. This dynamic, combined with the state’s historically low participation rates, anchors trader expectations for total ballots near the middle turnout bands. Recent primaries and the August runoff drew only 22–26% of registered voters, underscoring persistent engagement challenges even in higher-profile cycles. With roughly 2.43 million registered voters and no competitive statewide contests to drive mobilization, general-election turnout will hinge on baseline Republican participation and limited Democratic crossover. The narrow spread between the leading 1.1–1.2 million and 1.2–1.3 million vote ranges reflects uncertainty over whether typical midterm patterns or further softening in a non-battleground environment will prevail.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$5,120終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Oklahoma’s US Senate contest features Republican Kevin Hern facing Democrat N’Kiyla Thomas in a solidly Republican open-seat race projected to produce a wide margin. This dynamic, combined with the state’s historically low participation rates, anchors trader expectations for total ballots near the middle turnout bands. Recent primaries and the August runoff drew only 22–26% of registered voters, underscoring persistent engagement challenges even in higher-profile cycles. With roughly 2.43 million registered voters and no competitive statewide contests to drive mobilization, general-election turnout will hinge on baseline Republican participation and limited Democratic crossover. The narrow spread between the leading 1.1–1.2 million and 1.2–1.3 million vote ranges reflects uncertainty over whether typical midterm patterns or further softening in a non-battleground environment will prevail.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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