**Trader consensus on the Idaho U.S. Senate election turnout centers on the 600K-680K range, reflecting typical midterm patterns in the state.** With roughly 969,000 registered voters, recent midterms have produced 595,000 ballots cast in 2022 and higher presidential-year totals near 880,000–917,000 in 2020 and 2024. The 2026 race, featuring incumbent Republican Jim Risch against independent Todd Achilles in a solidly Republican contest, lacks the national salience or competitive dynamics that drive elevated participation. Primary turnout reached about 30% in May, consistent with historical benchmarks and offering limited signal for November. Mailing of absentee and overseas ballots began in September, with the registration and absentee request deadline set for October 23 and early voting running October 13–30. Absent major late-breaking events or unusually high mobilization, probabilities favor turnout levels aligned with prior non-presidential cycles rather than presidential peaks or unusually depressed figures.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日600K-640K 44%
640K-680K 29%
680K-720K 19%
560K-600K 4.3%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
<480K
2%
480K-520K
4%
520K-560K
7%
560K-600K
9%
600K-640K
44%
640K-680K
29%
680K-720K
19%
720K+
4%
600K-640K 44%
640K-680K 29%
680K-720K 19%
560K-600K 4.3%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
<480K
$604 Vol.
2%
480K-520K
$526 Vol.
4%
520K-560K
$646 Vol.
7%
560K-600K
$538 Vol.
9%
600K-640K
$2,712 Vol.
44%
640K-680K
$2,092 Vol.
29%
680K-720K
$606 Vol.
19%
720K+
$522 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus on the Idaho U.S. Senate election turnout centers on the 600K-680K range, reflecting typical midterm patterns in the state.** With roughly 969,000 registered voters, recent midterms have produced 595,000 ballots cast in 2022 and higher presidential-year totals near 880,000–917,000 in 2020 and 2024. The 2026 race, featuring incumbent Republican Jim Risch against independent Todd Achilles in a solidly Republican contest, lacks the national salience or competitive dynamics that drive elevated participation.
Primary turnout reached about 30% in May, consistent with historical benchmarks and offering limited signal for November. Mailing of absentee and overseas ballots began in September, with the registration and absentee request deadline set for October 23 and early voting running October 13–30. Absent major late-breaking events or unusually high mobilization, probabilities favor turnout levels aligned with prior non-presidential cycles rather than presidential peaks or unusually depressed figures.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Aug 18, 2026, 10:20 AM ET
音量
$8,246終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 10:20 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus on the Idaho U.S. Senate election turnout centers on the 600K-680K range, reflecting typical midterm patterns in the state.** With roughly 969,000 registered voters, recent midterms have produced 595,000 ballots cast in 2022 and higher presidential-year totals near 880,000–917,000 in 2020 and 2024. The 2026 race, featuring incumbent Republican Jim Risch against independent Todd Achilles in a solidly Republican contest, lacks the national salience or competitive dynamics that drive elevated participation.
Primary turnout reached about 30% in May, consistent with historical benchmarks and offering limited signal for November. Mailing of absentee and overseas ballots began in September, with the registration and absentee request deadline set for October 23 and early voting running October 13–30. Absent major late-breaking events or unusually high mobilization, probabilities favor turnout levels aligned with prior non-presidential cycles rather than presidential peaks or unusually depressed figures.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$8,246終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 10:20 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the Idaho U.S. Senate election turnout centers on the 600K-680K range, reflecting typical midterm patterns in the state.** With roughly 969,000 registered voters, recent midterms have produced 595,000 ballots cast in 2022 and higher presidential-year totals near 880,000–917,000 in 2020 and 2024. The 2026 race, featuring incumbent Republican Jim Risch against independent Todd Achilles in a solidly Republican contest, lacks the national salience or competitive dynamics that drive elevated participation. Primary turnout reached about 30% in May, consistent with historical benchmarks and offering limited signal for November. Mailing of absentee and overseas ballots began in September, with the registration and absentee request deadline set for October 23 and early voting running October 13–30. Absent major late-breaking events or unusually high mobilization, probabilities favor turnout levels aligned with prior non-presidential cycles rather than presidential peaks or unusually depressed figures.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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