The tight contest for Maine’s U.S. Senate seat between incumbent Republican Susan Collins and Democratic challenger Troy Jackson has shaped trader expectations for general election turnout. Recent polling averages show the race within a few points, consistent with a toss-up environment that historically elevates participation compared with less competitive cycles. Democratic-leaning motivation appears somewhat higher in available surveys, while Maine’s established patterns of elevated turnout among younger voters and strong overall engagement in federal midterms support volumes clustering in the 700,000 range. No major late-breaking developments have altered baseline projections in recent weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日70万〜75万 40%
65万~70万 27%
75万~80万 26%
80万〜85万 8%
60万未満
2%
60万~65万
2%
65万~70万
27%
70万〜75万
40%
75万~80万
26%
80万〜85万
8%
85万~90万
2%
90万票以上
<1%
70万〜75万 40%
65万~70万 27%
75万~80万 26%
80万〜85万 8%
60万未満
2%
60万~65万
2%
65万~70万
27%
70万〜75万
40%
75万~80万
26%
80万〜85万
8%
85万~90万
2%
90万票以上
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Aug 18, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The tight contest for Maine’s U.S. Senate seat between incumbent Republican Susan Collins and Democratic challenger Troy Jackson has shaped trader expectations for general election turnout. Recent polling averages show the race within a few points, consistent with a toss-up environment that historically elevates participation compared with less competitive cycles. Democratic-leaning motivation appears somewhat higher in available surveys, while Maine’s established patterns of elevated turnout among younger voters and strong overall engagement in federal midterms support volumes clustering in the 700,000 range. No major late-breaking developments have altered baseline projections in recent weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問