The Safeguard American Voter Eligibility Act, requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration along with photo ID and voter roll maintenance provisions, passed the House in April 2025 and again in February 2026. Multiple Senate attempts to advance it as amendments to appropriations, the NDAA, or via reconciliation failed in 2026, including a June vote defeated 48-50 when four Republicans joined Democrats. Senate rules require 60 votes for cloture on most legislation, and Majority Leader Thune has stated there is no viable path in the current session. Traders reflect this gridlock in low implied probabilities for enactment by year-end, noting the slim Republican majority, internal divisions, and absence of bipartisan support or successful procedural workarounds. Any late-session push would need to overcome the same structural barriers.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$551,619 Vol.
2026/04/29
12月31日
10%
$551,619 Vol.
12月31日
$235,041 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any bill, measure, or resolution that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition for registering to vote or to vote in U.S. federal elections is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law, or is otherwise enacted into U.S. federal law, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Examples of qualifying legislation include H.R. 22, the “SAVE Act,” and H.R. 7296, the “SAVE America Act.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Safeguard American Voter Eligibility Act, requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration along with photo ID and voter roll maintenance provisions, passed the House in April 2025 and again in February 2026. Multiple Senate attempts to advance it as amendments to appropriations, the NDAA, or via reconciliation failed in 2026, including a June vote defeated 48-50 when four Republicans joined Democrats. Senate rules require 60 votes for cloture on most legislation, and Majority Leader Thune has stated there is no viable path in the current session. Traders reflect this gridlock in low implied probabilities for enactment by year-end, noting the slim Republican majority, internal divisions, and absence of bipartisan support or successful procedural workarounds. Any late-session push would need to overcome the same structural barriers.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any bill, measure, or resolution that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition for registering to vote or to vote in U.S. federal elections is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law, or is otherwise enacted into U.S. federal law, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Examples of qualifying legislation include H.R. 22, the “SAVE Act,” and H.R. 7296, the “SAVE America Act.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Examples of qualifying legislation include H.R. 22, the “SAVE Act,” and H.R. 7296, the “SAVE America Act.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 10, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
音量
$551,619終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 10, 2026, 7:53 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any bill, measure, or resolution that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition for registering to vote or to vote in U.S. federal elections is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law, or is otherwise enacted into U.S. federal law, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Examples of qualifying legislation include H.R. 22, the “SAVE Act,” and H.R. 7296, the “SAVE America Act.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Safeguard American Voter Eligibility Act, requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration along with photo ID and voter roll maintenance provisions, passed the House in April 2025 and again in February 2026. Multiple Senate attempts to advance it as amendments to appropriations, the NDAA, or via reconciliation failed in 2026, including a June vote defeated 48-50 when four Republicans joined Democrats. Senate rules require 60 votes for cloture on most legislation, and Majority Leader Thune has stated there is no viable path in the current session. Traders reflect this gridlock in low implied probabilities for enactment by year-end, noting the slim Republican majority, internal divisions, and absence of bipartisan support or successful procedural workarounds. Any late-session push would need to overcome the same structural barriers.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any bill, measure, or resolution that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition for registering to vote or to vote in U.S. federal elections is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law, or is otherwise enacted into U.S. federal law, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Examples of qualifying legislation include H.R. 22, the “SAVE Act,” and H.R. 7296, the “SAVE America Act.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Examples of qualifying legislation include H.R. 22, the “SAVE Act,” and H.R. 7296, the “SAVE America Act.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$551,619終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 10, 2026, 7:53 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...The Safeguard American Voter Eligibility Act, requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration along with photo ID and voter roll maintenance provisions, passed the House in April 2025 and again in February 2026. Multiple Senate attempts to advance it as amendments to appropriations, the NDAA, or via reconciliation failed in 2026, including a June vote defeated 48-50 when four Republicans joined Democrats. Senate rules require 60 votes for cloture on most legislation, and Majority Leader Thune has stated there is no viable path in the current session. Traders reflect this gridlock in low implied probabilities for enactment by year-end, noting the slim Republican majority, internal divisions, and absence of bipartisan support or successful procedural workarounds. Any late-session push would need to overcome the same structural barriers.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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