Recent U.S. detections of New World screwworm (NWS), or Cochliomyia hominivorax, began with a confirmed calf case in Zavala County, Texas, on June 3, 2026, followed by roughly 46 total animal cases across Texas and New Mexico as of late August, per USDA-APHIS data. Trader sentiment centers on containment progress through sterile insect technique releases, expanded trapping, quarantines, and the phased reopening of the Douglas, Arizona, port on August 24 under joint U.S.-Mexico protocols. The HHS Secretary's August 18, 2025, declaration enabled 14 FDA Emergency Use Authorizations, including the latest August 27 authorization for ivermectin injection in cattle. Ongoing surveillance updates, model-adjusted sterile fly polygons, and any further port decisions or case spikes represent key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/12/31
August 30
46%
10月31日
48%
December 31
45%
$1,472 Vol.
August 30
$90 Vol.
46%
10月31日
$0 Vol.
48%
December 31
$0 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent U.S. detections of New World screwworm (NWS), or Cochliomyia hominivorax, began with a confirmed calf case in Zavala County, Texas, on June 3, 2026, followed by roughly 46 total animal cases across Texas and New Mexico as of late August, per USDA-APHIS data. Trader sentiment centers on containment progress through sterile insect technique releases, expanded trapping, quarantines, and the phased reopening of the Douglas, Arizona, port on August 24 under joint U.S.-Mexico protocols. The HHS Secretary's August 18, 2025, declaration enabled 14 FDA Emergency Use Authorizations, including the latest August 27 authorization for ivermectin injection in cattle. Ongoing surveillance updates, model-adjusted sterile fly polygons, and any further port decisions or case spikes represent key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ET
音量
$1,472終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent U.S. detections of New World screwworm (NWS), or Cochliomyia hominivorax, began with a confirmed calf case in Zavala County, Texas, on June 3, 2026, followed by roughly 46 total animal cases across Texas and New Mexico as of late August, per USDA-APHIS data. Trader sentiment centers on containment progress through sterile insect technique releases, expanded trapping, quarantines, and the phased reopening of the Douglas, Arizona, port on August 24 under joint U.S.-Mexico protocols. The HHS Secretary's August 18, 2025, declaration enabled 14 FDA Emergency Use Authorizations, including the latest August 27 authorization for ivermectin injection in cattle. Ongoing surveillance updates, model-adjusted sterile fly polygons, and any further port decisions or case spikes represent key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,472終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. detections of New World screwworm (NWS), or Cochliomyia hominivorax, began with a confirmed calf case in Zavala County, Texas, on June 3, 2026, followed by roughly 46 total animal cases across Texas and New Mexico as of late August, per USDA-APHIS data. Trader sentiment centers on containment progress through sterile insect technique releases, expanded trapping, quarantines, and the phased reopening of the Douglas, Arizona, port on August 24 under joint U.S.-Mexico protocols. The HHS Secretary's August 18, 2025, declaration enabled 14 FDA Emergency Use Authorizations, including the latest August 27 authorization for ivermectin injection in cattle. Ongoing surveillance updates, model-adjusted sterile fly polygons, and any further port decisions or case spikes represent key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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