Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican voting patterns, demonstrated by large margins in recent presidential and statewide contests. Hagerty secured the GOP nomination without opposition in the August primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while Democrat Marquita Bradshaw, the 2020 nominee, won her party's primary but faces the same structural challenges in a state where Republicans hold durable advantages in voter registration, turnout, and district performance. Forecasters rate the contest as solidly Republican, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the current market pricing. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, significant health event, or sharp national political shift could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election, though no such factors have emerged.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$29,907 Vol.
$29,907 Vol.
2026/11/02
ビル・ハガティ（共和党）
96%
マーキータ・ブラッドショー（民主党）
4%
$29,907 Vol.
$29,907 Vol.
2026/11/02
ビル・ハガティ（共和党）
$19,518 Vol.
96%
マーキータ・ブラッドショー（民主党）
$10,390 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican voting patterns, demonstrated by large margins in recent presidential and statewide contests. Hagerty secured the GOP nomination without opposition in the August primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while Democrat Marquita Bradshaw, the 2020 nominee, won her party's primary but faces the same structural challenges in a state where Republicans hold durable advantages in voter registration, turnout, and district performance. Forecasters rate the contest as solidly Republican, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the current market pricing. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, significant health event, or sharp national political shift could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election, though no such factors have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
音量
$29,907終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican voting patterns, demonstrated by large margins in recent presidential and statewide contests. Hagerty secured the GOP nomination without opposition in the August primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while Democrat Marquita Bradshaw, the 2020 nominee, won her party's primary but faces the same structural challenges in a state where Republicans hold durable advantages in voter registration, turnout, and district performance. Forecasters rate the contest as solidly Republican, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the current market pricing. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, significant health event, or sharp national political shift could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election, though no such factors have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$29,907終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican voting patterns, demonstrated by large margins in recent presidential and statewide contests. Hagerty secured the GOP nomination without opposition in the August primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while Democrat Marquita Bradshaw, the 2020 nominee, won her party's primary but faces the same structural challenges in a state where Republicans hold durable advantages in voter registration, turnout, and district performance. Forecasters rate the contest as solidly Republican, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the current market pricing. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, significant health event, or sharp national political shift could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election, though no such factors have emerged.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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