Tesla shares closed the prior week near $356–$359 after a volatile stretch that included a sharp drop from early-September highs above $375, leaving the Polymarket distribution tightly clustered with no outcome exceeding 22% implied probability. Recent catalysts center on the Cybercab robotaxi launch in Austin and expanding Full Self-Driving regulatory approvals in Europe, offset by a fresh NHTSA special order demanding sworn proof that the steering-wheel-free vehicle meets federal safety standards. Broader sentiment also reflects elevated capital spending, delayed volume timelines for the Semi and Optimus, and a 52-week range that still shows material downside from 2025 peaks. With resolution only days away, traders appear to price in continued short-term consolidation around current levels amid these competing autonomy and regulatory signals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$360〜$365 17%
$355-$360 16%
$350～$355 16%
$365〜$370 15%
新規
新規
2026/09/18
340ドル未満
18%
$340〜$345
9%
$345〜$350
13%
$350～$355
16%
$355-$360
16%
$360〜$365
17%
$365〜$370
15%
$370～$375
8%
$375〜$380
8%
$380～$385
7%
385ドル超
8%
$360〜$365 17%
$355-$360 16%
$350～$355 16%
$365〜$370 15%
新規
新規
2026/09/18
340ドル未満
$16 Vol.
18%
$340〜$345
$0 Vol.
9%
$345〜$350
$0 Vol.
13%
$350～$355
$0 Vol.
16%
$355-$360
$0 Vol.
16%
$360〜$365
$0 Vol.
17%
$365〜$370
$0 Vol.
15%
$370～$375
$0 Vol.
8%
$375〜$380
$0 Vol.
8%
$380～$385
$0 Vol.
7%
385ドル超
$0 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.Tesla shares closed the prior week near $356–$359 after a volatile stretch that included a sharp drop from early-September highs above $375, leaving the Polymarket distribution tightly clustered with no outcome exceeding 22% implied probability. Recent catalysts center on the Cybercab robotaxi launch in Austin and expanding Full Self-Driving regulatory approvals in Europe, offset by a fresh NHTSA special order demanding sworn proof that the steering-wheel-free vehicle meets federal safety standards. Broader sentiment also reflects elevated capital spending, delayed volume timelines for the Semi and Optimus, and a 52-week range that still shows material downside from 2025 peaks. With resolution only days away, traders appear to price in continued short-term consolidation around current levels amid these competing autonomy and regulatory signals.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
マーケット開始日： Sep 11, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
音量
$16終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 6:00 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.Tesla shares closed the prior week near $356–$359 after a volatile stretch that included a sharp drop from early-September highs above $375, leaving the Polymarket distribution tightly clustered with no outcome exceeding 22% implied probability. Recent catalysts center on the Cybercab robotaxi launch in Austin and expanding Full Self-Driving regulatory approvals in Europe, offset by a fresh NHTSA special order demanding sworn proof that the steering-wheel-free vehicle meets federal safety standards. Broader sentiment also reflects elevated capital spending, delayed volume timelines for the Semi and Optimus, and a 52-week range that still shows material downside from 2025 peaks. With resolution only days away, traders appear to price in continued short-term consolidation around current levels amid these competing autonomy and regulatory signals.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
音量
$16終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 6:00 PM ETTesla shares closed the prior week near $356–$359 after a volatile stretch that included a sharp drop from early-September highs above $375, leaving the Polymarket distribution tightly clustered with no outcome exceeding 22% implied probability. Recent catalysts center on the Cybercab robotaxi launch in Austin and expanding Full Self-Driving regulatory approvals in Europe, offset by a fresh NHTSA special order demanding sworn proof that the steering-wheel-free vehicle meets federal safety standards. Broader sentiment also reflects elevated capital spending, delayed volume timelines for the Semi and Optimus, and a 52-week range that still shows material downside from 2025 peaks. With resolution only days away, traders appear to price in continued short-term consolidation around current levels amid these competing autonomy and regulatory signals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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