Becca Balint holds a commanding position in Vermont’s at-large House race due to the state’s long-standing Democratic dominance, her incumbency, and consistent primary strength. She secured nearly 98 percent in the August 2026 Democratic primary and previously won general elections by wide margins in a district rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. Gerald Malloy, a retired Army officer who won the Republican nomination, faces structural barriers in a state where Democrats have held the seat since 1990. The current trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, including limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising gaps. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or sharp national political realignment could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$40,138 Vol.
$40,138 Vol.
2026/11/03
ベッカ・バリント（民主党）
97%
ジェラルド・マロイ（共和党）
4%
$40,138 Vol.
$40,138 Vol.
2026/11/03
ベッカ・バリント（民主党）
$9,022 Vol.
97%
ジェラルド・マロイ（共和党）
$31,116 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Becca Balint holds a commanding position in Vermont’s at-large House race due to the state’s long-standing Democratic dominance, her incumbency, and consistent primary strength. She secured nearly 98 percent in the August 2026 Democratic primary and previously won general elections by wide margins in a district rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. Gerald Malloy, a retired Army officer who won the Republican nomination, faces structural barriers in a state where Democrats have held the seat since 1990. The current trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, including limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising gaps. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or sharp national political realignment could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$40,138終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Becca Balint holds a commanding position in Vermont’s at-large House race due to the state’s long-standing Democratic dominance, her incumbency, and consistent primary strength. She secured nearly 98 percent in the August 2026 Democratic primary and previously won general elections by wide margins in a district rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. Gerald Malloy, a retired Army officer who won the Republican nomination, faces structural barriers in a state where Democrats have held the seat since 1990. The current trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, including limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising gaps. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or sharp national political realignment could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$40,138終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Becca Balint holds a commanding position in Vermont’s at-large House race due to the state’s long-standing Democratic dominance, her incumbency, and consistent primary strength. She secured nearly 98 percent in the August 2026 Democratic primary and previously won general elections by wide margins in a district rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. Gerald Malloy, a retired Army officer who won the Republican nomination, faces structural barriers in a state where Democrats have held the seat since 1990. The current trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, including limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising gaps. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or sharp national political realignment could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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