Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner holds a strong position in Washington's 5th Congressional District ahead of the November 3 general election, backed by the district's R+5 partisan voter index and his 21-point victory over the same Democratic opponent in 2024. Baumgartner advanced comfortably through the August 4 top-two primary with 47% of the vote, while Carmela Conroy secured the second spot at 19%. Recent campaign finance reports show Baumgartner with a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.7 million compared to Conroy's roughly $400,000. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid Republican, reflecting limited shifts in voter sentiment since the prior cycle and the absence of major new developments that would alter the established partisan baseline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$56,544 Vol.
$56,544 Vol.
2026/11/02
マイケル・バウムガートナー（共和党）
81%
カーメラ・コンロイ（民主党）
18%
$56,544 Vol.
$56,544 Vol.
2026/11/02
マイケル・バウムガートナー（共和党）
$22,800 Vol.
81%
カーメラ・コンロイ（民主党）
$33,744 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner holds a strong position in Washington's 5th Congressional District ahead of the November 3 general election, backed by the district's R+5 partisan voter index and his 21-point victory over the same Democratic opponent in 2024. Baumgartner advanced comfortably through the August 4 top-two primary with 47% of the vote, while Carmela Conroy secured the second spot at 19%. Recent campaign finance reports show Baumgartner with a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.7 million compared to Conroy's roughly $400,000. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid Republican, reflecting limited shifts in voter sentiment since the prior cycle and the absence of major new developments that would alter the established partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$56,544終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner holds a strong position in Washington's 5th Congressional District ahead of the November 3 general election, backed by the district's R+5 partisan voter index and his 21-point victory over the same Democratic opponent in 2024. Baumgartner advanced comfortably through the August 4 top-two primary with 47% of the vote, while Carmela Conroy secured the second spot at 19%. Recent campaign finance reports show Baumgartner with a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.7 million compared to Conroy's roughly $400,000. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid Republican, reflecting limited shifts in voter sentiment since the prior cycle and the absence of major new developments that would alter the established partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$56,544終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner holds a strong position in Washington's 5th Congressional District ahead of the November 3 general election, backed by the district's R+5 partisan voter index and his 21-point victory over the same Democratic opponent in 2024. Baumgartner advanced comfortably through the August 4 top-two primary with 47% of the vote, while Carmela Conroy secured the second spot at 19%. Recent campaign finance reports show Baumgartner with a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.7 million compared to Conroy's roughly $400,000. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid Republican, reflecting limited shifts in voter sentiment since the prior cycle and the absence of major new developments that would alter the established partisan baseline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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