Tony Wied holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the WI-08 general election due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+8 Partisan Voter Index and ratings of Solid or Safe Republican from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Wied, first elected in the 2024 special election and reelected that November with 57.3 percent, faced no primary opposition and benefits from incumbency in a district that has not elected a Democrat since 2008. Rick Crosson, a retired Army officer and former local school board member, emerged from a close August primary but confronts structural headwinds typical of the area. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would require sustained national political shifts or unusually high Democratic turnout not observed in recent cycles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$21,539 Vol.
$21,539 Vol.
トニー・ウィード(共和党)
91%
リック・クロッソン(民主党)
9%
$21,539 Vol.
$21,539 Vol.
トニー・ウィード(共和党)
91%
リック・クロッソン(民主党)
9%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
リゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Tony Wied holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the WI-08 general election due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+8 Partisan Voter Index and ratings of Solid or Safe Republican from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Wied, first elected in the 2024 special election and reelected that November with 57.3 percent, faced no primary opposition and benefits from incumbency in a district that has not elected a Democrat since 2008. Rick Crosson, a retired Army officer and former local school board member, emerged from a close August primary but confronts structural headwinds typical of the area. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would require sustained national political shifts or unusually high Democratic turnout not observed in recent cycles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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