Recent OpenAI GPT-6 Astra release on September 3 quickly captured the top Code Arena WebDev Elo position at 1,797, ahead of Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 at 1,762, reflecting accelerated gains in agentic coding, tool use, and iterative web development tasks on the crowdsourced leaderboard. Multiple frontier labs continue rapid iteration on long-horizon workflows, with competitive pressure from Anthropic, Moonshot, Alibaba Qwen variants, and Meta models sustaining momentum. Traders focus on whether scores hold or climb further amid ongoing releases, benchmark expansions, and potential last-quarter model drops before the December 31 resolution. Current implied probabilities for thresholds like 1,560–1,600 reflect the balance between demonstrated progress and uncertainty around sustained leadership or further jumps.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$217,847 Vol.
1560
38%
1580
23%
1600
10%
$217,847 Vol.
1560
38%
1580
23%
1600
10%
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
マーケット開始日: Apr 2, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
リゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Recent OpenAI GPT-6 Astra release on September 3 quickly captured the top Code Arena WebDev Elo position at 1,797, ahead of Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 at 1,762, reflecting accelerated gains in agentic coding, tool use, and iterative web development tasks on the crowdsourced leaderboard. Multiple frontier labs continue rapid iteration on long-horizon workflows, with competitive pressure from Anthropic, Moonshot, Alibaba Qwen variants, and Meta models sustaining momentum. Traders focus on whether scores hold or climb further amid ongoing releases, benchmark expansions, and potential last-quarter model drops before the December 31 resolution. Current implied probabilities for thresholds like 1,560–1,600 reflect the balance between demonstrated progress and uncertainty around sustained leadership or further jumps.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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