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icon for イルハン・オマールは2026年に強制送還されますか?

イルハン・オマールは2026年に強制送還されますか?

icon for イルハン・オマールは2026年に強制送還されますか?

イルハン・オマールは2026年に強制送還されますか?

はい

4% 確率
Polymarket
新規

はい

4% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rep. Ilhan Omar is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Omar from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. A removal order that has not been implemented will not be sufficient to resolve this market. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.Trader consensus that Rep. Ilhan Omar will not face deportation in 2026 stems from her status as a naturalized U.S. citizen since 2000, which requires a formal DOJ denaturalization proceeding in federal court to prove material fraud or misrepresentation before any removal order can issue. Recent public statements by DHS Secretary Markwayne Mullin and border czar Tom Homan confirming an ongoing ICE investigation into long-standing allegations of immigration-related fraud have prompted renewed calls from some Republican lawmakers for scrutiny, yet no denaturalization suit, immigration court filing, or removal proceeding has been initiated. Such civil actions carry high evidentiary burdens and extended timelines that make completion before December 31, 2026, improbable. Late-year developments, including release of specific evidence or accelerated litigation, remain the primary factors that could still alter the outcome.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rep. Ilhan Omar is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Omar from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count.

A removal order that has not been implemented will not be sufficient to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rep. Ilhan Omar is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Omar from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. A removal order that has not been implemented will not be sufficient to resolve this market. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.
音量
$1,643
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Aug 25, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rep. Ilhan Omar is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Omar from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. A removal order that has not been implemented will not be sufficient to resolve this market. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.Trader consensus that Rep. Ilhan Omar will not face deportation in 2026 stems from her status as a naturalized U.S. citizen since 2000, which requires a formal DOJ denaturalization proceeding in federal court to prove material fraud or misrepresentation before any removal order can issue. Recent public statements by DHS Secretary Markwayne Mullin and border czar Tom Homan confirming an ongoing ICE investigation into long-standing allegations of immigration-related fraud have prompted renewed calls from some Republican lawmakers for scrutiny, yet no denaturalization suit, immigration court filing, or removal proceeding has been initiated. Such civil actions carry high evidentiary burdens and extended timelines that make completion before December 31, 2026, improbable. Late-year developments, including release of specific evidence or accelerated litigation, remain the primary factors that could still alter the outcome.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rep. Ilhan Omar is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Omar from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count.

A removal order that has not been implemented will not be sufficient to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rep. Ilhan Omar is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Omar from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. A removal order that has not been implemented will not be sufficient to resolve this market. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.
音量
$1,643
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Aug 25, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

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よくある質問

「イルハン・オマールは2026年に強制送還されますか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「イルハン・オマルは2026年に国外追放されますか?」で4%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、4¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に4%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「イルハン・オマールは2026年に強制送還されますか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Aug 25, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「イルハン・オマールは2026年に強制送還されますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「イルハン・オマールは2026年に強制送還されますか?」の現在のリーダーは「イルハン・オマルは2026年に国外追放されますか?」でわずか4%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「イルハン・オマールは2026年に強制送還されますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。