Incumbent French Hill holds a strong position in Arkansas's 2nd District due to the area's Republican lean—reflected in Donald Trump's 8.5-point 2024 margin—and his record as a six-term representative now serving as House Financial Services Committee chair. Hill secured 76.8% in the March Republican primary against a challenger, while Chris Jones, the Democratic nominee and 2022 gubernatorial candidate, won his primary decisively. Recent developments include a late-August Hendrix College poll showing Jones narrowly ahead at 48-44 among likely voters, the DCCC designating the seat "in play," and an endorsement of Jones from Kamala Harris. These factors have narrowed but not overturned the trader consensus favoring Hill, consistent with historical midterm patterns and district fundamentals heading into the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAR-02 House Election Winner
AR-02 House Election Winner
$12,244 Wol.
$12,244 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
French Hill (R)
87%
Chris Jones (D)
14%
$12,244 Wol.
$12,244 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
French Hill (R)
$4,224 Wol.
87%
Chris Jones (D)
$8,020 Wol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent French Hill holds a strong position in Arkansas's 2nd District due to the area's Republican lean—reflected in Donald Trump's 8.5-point 2024 margin—and his record as a six-term representative now serving as House Financial Services Committee chair. Hill secured 76.8% in the March Republican primary against a challenger, while Chris Jones, the Democratic nominee and 2022 gubernatorial candidate, won his primary decisively. Recent developments include a late-August Hendrix College poll showing Jones narrowly ahead at 48-44 among likely voters, the DCCC designating the seat "in play," and an endorsement of Jones from Kamala Harris. These factors have narrowed but not overturned the trader consensus favoring Hill, consistent with historical midterm patterns and district fundamentals heading into the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Wolumen
$12,244Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent French Hill holds a strong position in Arkansas's 2nd District due to the area's Republican lean—reflected in Donald Trump's 8.5-point 2024 margin—and his record as a six-term representative now serving as House Financial Services Committee chair. Hill secured 76.8% in the March Republican primary against a challenger, while Chris Jones, the Democratic nominee and 2022 gubernatorial candidate, won his primary decisively. Recent developments include a late-August Hendrix College poll showing Jones narrowly ahead at 48-44 among likely voters, the DCCC designating the seat "in play," and an endorsement of Jones from Kamala Harris. These factors have narrowed but not overturned the trader consensus favoring Hill, consistent with historical midterm patterns and district fundamentals heading into the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$12,244Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent French Hill holds a strong position in Arkansas's 2nd District due to the area's Republican lean—reflected in Donald Trump's 8.5-point 2024 margin—and his record as a six-term representative now serving as House Financial Services Committee chair. Hill secured 76.8% in the March Republican primary against a challenger, while Chris Jones, the Democratic nominee and 2022 gubernatorial candidate, won his primary decisively. Recent developments include a late-August Hendrix College poll showing Jones narrowly ahead at 48-44 among likely voters, the DCCC designating the seat "in play," and an endorsement of Jones from Kamala Harris. These factors have narrowed but not overturned the trader consensus favoring Hill, consistent with historical midterm patterns and district fundamentals heading into the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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