Incumbent Mark DeSaulnier holds a commanding position in California's 10th congressional district due to the area's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 and longstanding voting patterns favoring Democratic candidates in presidential and House races. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. DeSaulnier advanced comfortably from the June 2 top-two primary with nearly 60% of the vote, while Republican challenger Jeff Frese placed second at under 13%. The district's voter registration and historical margins limit Republican opportunities, though traders price in remote risks from unexpected events such as a major scandal or significant national partisan shift that could alter turnout dynamics.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCA-10 House Election Winner
CA-10 House Election Winner
$26,535 Wol.
$26,535 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Mark DeSaulnier (D)
97%
Jeff Frese (R)
3%
$26,535 Wol.
$26,535 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Mark DeSaulnier (D)
$13,622 Wol.
97%
Jeff Frese (R)
$12,913 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Mark DeSaulnier holds a commanding position in California's 10th congressional district due to the area's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 and longstanding voting patterns favoring Democratic candidates in presidential and House races. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. DeSaulnier advanced comfortably from the June 2 top-two primary with nearly 60% of the vote, while Republican challenger Jeff Frese placed second at under 13%. The district's voter registration and historical margins limit Republican opportunities, though traders price in remote risks from unexpected events such as a major scandal or significant national partisan shift that could alter turnout dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$26,535Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Mark DeSaulnier holds a commanding position in California's 10th congressional district due to the area's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 and longstanding voting patterns favoring Democratic candidates in presidential and House races. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. DeSaulnier advanced comfortably from the June 2 top-two primary with nearly 60% of the vote, while Republican challenger Jeff Frese placed second at under 13%. The district's voter registration and historical margins limit Republican opportunities, though traders price in remote risks from unexpected events such as a major scandal or significant national partisan shift that could alter turnout dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$26,535Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Mark DeSaulnier holds a commanding position in California's 10th congressional district due to the area's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 and longstanding voting patterns favoring Democratic candidates in presidential and House races. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. DeSaulnier advanced comfortably from the June 2 top-two primary with nearly 60% of the vote, while Republican challenger Jeff Frese placed second at under 13%. The district's voter registration and historical margins limit Republican opportunities, though traders price in remote risks from unexpected events such as a major scandal or significant national partisan shift that could alter turnout dynamics.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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