California's 11th congressional district maintains one of the strongest Democratic partisan leans in the country, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+36, ensuring that the November general election winner will almost certainly come from that party. Nancy Pelosi's retirement after decades in the seat opened the race, but the June top-two primary advanced two Democrats—state Sen. Scott Wiener and San Francisco Supervisor Connie Chan—while eliminating all other contenders, including Republicans. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the absence of any competitive Republican path and the district's consistent voting patterns in recent cycles. Trader consensus aligns with this structural reality, where only extraordinary late developments such as widespread candidate disqualifications or unprecedented turnout shifts could alter the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCA-11 House Election Winner
CA-11 House Election Winner
$21,768 Wol.
$21,768 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
98%
Republican Party
1%
$21,768 Wol.
$21,768 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,980 Wol.
98%
Republican Party
$6,788 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 11th congressional district maintains one of the strongest Democratic partisan leans in the country, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+36, ensuring that the November general election winner will almost certainly come from that party. Nancy Pelosi's retirement after decades in the seat opened the race, but the June top-two primary advanced two Democrats—state Sen. Scott Wiener and San Francisco Supervisor Connie Chan—while eliminating all other contenders, including Republicans. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the absence of any competitive Republican path and the district's consistent voting patterns in recent cycles. Trader consensus aligns with this structural reality, where only extraordinary late developments such as widespread candidate disqualifications or unprecedented turnout shifts could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$21,768Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 11th congressional district maintains one of the strongest Democratic partisan leans in the country, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+36, ensuring that the November general election winner will almost certainly come from that party. Nancy Pelosi's retirement after decades in the seat opened the race, but the June top-two primary advanced two Democrats—state Sen. Scott Wiener and San Francisco Supervisor Connie Chan—while eliminating all other contenders, including Republicans. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the absence of any competitive Republican path and the district's consistent voting patterns in recent cycles. Trader consensus aligns with this structural reality, where only extraordinary late developments such as widespread candidate disqualifications or unprecedented turnout shifts could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$21,768Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...California's 11th congressional district maintains one of the strongest Democratic partisan leans in the country, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+36, ensuring that the November general election winner will almost certainly come from that party. Nancy Pelosi's retirement after decades in the seat opened the race, but the June top-two primary advanced two Democrats—state Sen. Scott Wiener and San Francisco Supervisor Connie Chan—while eliminating all other contenders, including Republicans. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the absence of any competitive Republican path and the district's consistent voting patterns in recent cycles. Trader consensus aligns with this structural reality, where only extraordinary late developments such as widespread candidate disqualifications or unprecedented turnout shifts could alter the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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