California's 12th congressional district, centered in Alameda County, maintains a strongly Democratic partisan voter index of D+39, reflecting consistent heavy support in presidential and congressional voting. Incumbent Democrat Lateefah Simon advanced from the June 2, 2026, top-two primary with roughly 84 percent of the vote against fellow Democrat Jamie Joyce, leaving an all-Democratic general election matchup on November 3. All major forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic. The absence of a viable Republican nominee on the November ballot reinforces trader consensus that the seat will remain in Democratic hands. A Democratic victory could only be disrupted by an unforeseen withdrawal, disqualification, or late ballot change that alters the field before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCA-12 House Election Winner
CA-12 House Election Winner
$44,263 Wol.
$44,263 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
98%
Republican Party
<1%
$44,263 Wol.
$44,263 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$27,011 Wol.
98%
Republican Party
$17,251 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 12th congressional district, centered in Alameda County, maintains a strongly Democratic partisan voter index of D+39, reflecting consistent heavy support in presidential and congressional voting. Incumbent Democrat Lateefah Simon advanced from the June 2, 2026, top-two primary with roughly 84 percent of the vote against fellow Democrat Jamie Joyce, leaving an all-Democratic general election matchup on November 3. All major forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic. The absence of a viable Republican nominee on the November ballot reinforces trader consensus that the seat will remain in Democratic hands. A Democratic victory could only be disrupted by an unforeseen withdrawal, disqualification, or late ballot change that alters the field before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$44,263Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 12th congressional district, centered in Alameda County, maintains a strongly Democratic partisan voter index of D+39, reflecting consistent heavy support in presidential and congressional voting. Incumbent Democrat Lateefah Simon advanced from the June 2, 2026, top-two primary with roughly 84 percent of the vote against fellow Democrat Jamie Joyce, leaving an all-Democratic general election matchup on November 3. All major forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic. The absence of a viable Republican nominee on the November ballot reinforces trader consensus that the seat will remain in Democratic hands. A Democratic victory could only be disrupted by an unforeseen withdrawal, disqualification, or late ballot change that alters the field before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$44,263Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...California's 12th congressional district, centered in Alameda County, maintains a strongly Democratic partisan voter index of D+39, reflecting consistent heavy support in presidential and congressional voting. Incumbent Democrat Lateefah Simon advanced from the June 2, 2026, top-two primary with roughly 84 percent of the vote against fellow Democrat Jamie Joyce, leaving an all-Democratic general election matchup on November 3. All major forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic. The absence of a viable Republican nominee on the November ballot reinforces trader consensus that the seat will remain in Democratic hands. A Democratic victory could only be disrupted by an unforeseen withdrawal, disqualification, or late ballot change that alters the field before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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