**Traders assign an 80% probability that the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions will remain in place through 2026.** The limit, enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act and effective for tax year 2026, replaced the prior 100% offset of losses against winnings under IRC Section 165(d). Multiple repeal efforts, including the FAIR BET Act, FULL HOUSE Act, and WAGER Act, have drawn bipartisan cosponsors from gaming states yet stalled in committee or via procedural blocks in both chambers. House Republican leadership has repeatedly declined to allow amendments on appropriations or other vehicles, while Senate attempts at unanimous consent have failed. The provision’s projected $1.1 billion revenue impact over eight years has complicated offsets, and industry advocacy—including a May 2026 letter from UFC’s Dana White to President Trump—has not produced legislative momentum ahead of the 2027 deadline.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano20% szansa
$71,482 Wol.
$71,482 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
20% szansa
$71,482 Wol.
$71,482 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. **Traders assign an 80% probability that the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions will remain in place through 2026.** The limit, enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act and effective for tax year 2026, replaced the prior 100% offset of losses against winnings under IRC Section 165(d). Multiple repeal efforts, including the FAIR BET Act, FULL HOUSE Act, and WAGER Act, have drawn bipartisan cosponsors from gaming states yet stalled in committee or via procedural blocks in both chambers. House Republican leadership has repeatedly declined to allow amendments on appropriations or other vehicles, while Senate attempts at unanimous consent have failed. The provision’s projected $1.1 billion revenue impact over eight years has complicated offsets, and industry advocacy—including a May 2026 letter from UFC’s Dana White to President Trump—has not produced legislative momentum ahead of the 2027 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Wolumen
$71,482Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. **Traders assign an 80% probability that the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions will remain in place through 2026.** The limit, enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act and effective for tax year 2026, replaced the prior 100% offset of losses against winnings under IRC Section 165(d). Multiple repeal efforts, including the FAIR BET Act, FULL HOUSE Act, and WAGER Act, have drawn bipartisan cosponsors from gaming states yet stalled in committee or via procedural blocks in both chambers. House Republican leadership has repeatedly declined to allow amendments on appropriations or other vehicles, while Senate attempts at unanimous consent have failed. The provision’s projected $1.1 billion revenue impact over eight years has complicated offsets, and industry advocacy—including a May 2026 letter from UFC’s Dana White to President Trump—has not produced legislative momentum ahead of the 2027 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$71,482Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...**Traders assign an 80% probability that the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions will remain in place through 2026.** The limit, enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act and effective for tax year 2026, replaced the prior 100% offset of losses against winnings under IRC Section 165(d). Multiple repeal efforts, including the FAIR BET Act, FULL HOUSE Act, and WAGER Act, have drawn bipartisan cosponsors from gaming states yet stalled in committee or via procedural blocks in both chambers. House Republican leadership has repeatedly declined to allow amendments on appropriations or other vehicles, while Senate attempts at unanimous consent have failed. The provision’s projected $1.1 billion revenue impact over eight years has complicated offsets, and industry advocacy—including a May 2026 letter from UFC’s Dana White to President Trump—has not produced legislative momentum ahead of the 2027 deadline.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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