Incumbent Democrat Sarah McBride holds a commanding position in Delaware’s at-large House district, reflected in trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party a 94.5 percent implied probability. The seat carries a strong Democratic lean, with McBride having won the open seat in 2024 by nearly 16 points in a state that favored the Democratic presidential nominee by double digits. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Safe or Solid Democratic, and McBride faces no primary opposition while Republican primary candidates lack demonstrated statewide viability. Delaware’s consistent partisan patterns across recent cycles limit opportunities for an upset. A late national swing, major scandal, or health-related development could still shift the outcome before the November 3 general election, though such events remain low-probability based on current conditions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoDE-AL House Election Winner
DE-AL House Election Winner
$43,260 Wol.
$43,260 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$43,260 Wol.
$43,260 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,359 Wol.
95%
Republican Party
$37,900 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sarah McBride holds a commanding position in Delaware’s at-large House district, reflected in trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party a 94.5 percent implied probability. The seat carries a strong Democratic lean, with McBride having won the open seat in 2024 by nearly 16 points in a state that favored the Democratic presidential nominee by double digits. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Safe or Solid Democratic, and McBride faces no primary opposition while Republican primary candidates lack demonstrated statewide viability. Delaware’s consistent partisan patterns across recent cycles limit opportunities for an upset. A late national swing, major scandal, or health-related development could still shift the outcome before the November 3 general election, though such events remain low-probability based on current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$43,260Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sarah McBride holds a commanding position in Delaware’s at-large House district, reflected in trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party a 94.5 percent implied probability. The seat carries a strong Democratic lean, with McBride having won the open seat in 2024 by nearly 16 points in a state that favored the Democratic presidential nominee by double digits. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Safe or Solid Democratic, and McBride faces no primary opposition while Republican primary candidates lack demonstrated statewide viability. Delaware’s consistent partisan patterns across recent cycles limit opportunities for an upset. A late national swing, major scandal, or health-related development could still shift the outcome before the November 3 general election, though such events remain low-probability based on current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$43,260Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Sarah McBride holds a commanding position in Delaware’s at-large House district, reflected in trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party a 94.5 percent implied probability. The seat carries a strong Democratic lean, with McBride having won the open seat in 2024 by nearly 16 points in a state that favored the Democratic presidential nominee by double digits. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Safe or Solid Democratic, and McBride faces no primary opposition while Republican primary candidates lack demonstrated statewide viability. Delaware’s consistent partisan patterns across recent cycles limit opportunities for an upset. A late national swing, major scandal, or health-related development could still shift the outcome before the November 3 general election, though such events remain low-probability based on current conditions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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