Ashley Hinson leads Josh Turek in the Iowa U.S. Senate race for the open seat vacated by retiring Republican Joni Ernst, with the market assigning her a 65.5% implied probability. Recent polling averages show Hinson ahead by roughly 5 points among likely voters, though the contest remains competitive and has been rated a toss-up by analysts. Hinson benefits from stronger fundraising, a Trump endorsement secured during primaries, and recent law enforcement backing on immigration and public safety. Turek, a state representative and Paralympic athlete with an Obama endorsement, highlights his bipartisan record and focuses on Iowa’s elevated cancer rates, healthcare access, and affordability pressures. November 3 voting and ongoing campaign events on farm costs and taxes could influence final positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIowa Senate Election Winner
Iowa Senate Election Winner
$234,803 Wol.
$234,803 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Ashley Hinson (R)
66%
Josh Turek (D)
35%
$234,803 Wol.
$234,803 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Ashley Hinson (R)
$122,992 Wol.
66%
Josh Turek (D)
$111,811 Wol.
35%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Hinson leads Josh Turek in the Iowa U.S. Senate race for the open seat vacated by retiring Republican Joni Ernst, with the market assigning her a 65.5% implied probability. Recent polling averages show Hinson ahead by roughly 5 points among likely voters, though the contest remains competitive and has been rated a toss-up by analysts. Hinson benefits from stronger fundraising, a Trump endorsement secured during primaries, and recent law enforcement backing on immigration and public safety. Turek, a state representative and Paralympic athlete with an Obama endorsement, highlights his bipartisan record and focuses on Iowa’s elevated cancer rates, healthcare access, and affordability pressures. November 3 voting and ongoing campaign events on farm costs and taxes could influence final positioning.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
Wolumen
$234,803Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Hinson leads Josh Turek in the Iowa U.S. Senate race for the open seat vacated by retiring Republican Joni Ernst, with the market assigning her a 65.5% implied probability. Recent polling averages show Hinson ahead by roughly 5 points among likely voters, though the contest remains competitive and has been rated a toss-up by analysts. Hinson benefits from stronger fundraising, a Trump endorsement secured during primaries, and recent law enforcement backing on immigration and public safety. Turek, a state representative and Paralympic athlete with an Obama endorsement, highlights his bipartisan record and focuses on Iowa’s elevated cancer rates, healthcare access, and affordability pressures. November 3 voting and ongoing campaign events on farm costs and taxes could influence final positioning.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Wolumen
$234,803Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Ashley Hinson leads Josh Turek in the Iowa U.S. Senate race for the open seat vacated by retiring Republican Joni Ernst, with the market assigning her a 65.5% implied probability. Recent polling averages show Hinson ahead by roughly 5 points among likely voters, though the contest remains competitive and has been rated a toss-up by analysts. Hinson benefits from stronger fundraising, a Trump endorsement secured during primaries, and recent law enforcement backing on immigration and public safety. Turek, a state representative and Paralympic athlete with an Obama endorsement, highlights his bipartisan record and focuses on Iowa’s elevated cancer rates, healthcare access, and affordability pressures. November 3 voting and ongoing campaign events on farm costs and taxes could influence final positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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