Recent posting patterns position the 40-64 range as the market frontrunner, with Elon Musk averaging roughly 30-40 daily posts in late August amid routine engagement on AI tools, Starlink expansions, and Grok updates. The Labor Day weekend timing adds downward pressure, as historical data shows lighter weekend volume compared to weekdays, supporting the 29% implied probability on sub-40 totals. Traders see little catalyst for a surge into the 65+ buckets absent breaking developments in Tesla, SpaceX, or xAI campaigns. Precursor trackers for similar short windows confirm this tempered pace, aligning trader consensus with steady but unremarkable cultural momentum around Musk's X presence.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano40-64 49%
<40 30%
65-89 19%
90-114 3.0%
$64,631 Wol.
$64,631 Wol.
Sep 2, 2026
<40
30%
40-64
49%
65-89
19%
90-114
3%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 49%
<40 30%
65-89 19%
90-114 3.0%
$64,631 Wol.
$64,631 Wol.
Sep 2, 2026
<40
$11,351 Wol.
30%
40-64
$14,770 Wol.
49%
65-89
$12,804 Wol.
19%
90-114
$4,964 Wol.
3%
115-139
$5,791 Wol.
1%
140-164
$5,718 Wol.
<1%
165-189
$4,522 Wol.
<1%
190-214
$2,983 Wol.
<1%
215-239
$839 Wol.
<1%
240+
$889 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 31 12:00 PM ET to September 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent posting patterns position the 40-64 range as the market frontrunner, with Elon Musk averaging roughly 30-40 daily posts in late August amid routine engagement on AI tools, Starlink expansions, and Grok updates. The Labor Day weekend timing adds downward pressure, as historical data shows lighter weekend volume compared to weekdays, supporting the 29% implied probability on sub-40 totals. Traders see little catalyst for a surge into the 65+ buckets absent breaking developments in Tesla, SpaceX, or xAI campaigns. Precursor trackers for similar short windows confirm this tempered pace, aligning trader consensus with steady but unremarkable cultural momentum around Musk's X presence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 31 12:00 PM ET to September 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 29, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Wolumen
$64,631Data zakończenia
Sep 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 12:07 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/elonmuskRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 31 12:00 PM ET to September 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent posting patterns position the 40-64 range as the market frontrunner, with Elon Musk averaging roughly 30-40 daily posts in late August amid routine engagement on AI tools, Starlink expansions, and Grok updates. The Labor Day weekend timing adds downward pressure, as historical data shows lighter weekend volume compared to weekdays, supporting the 29% implied probability on sub-40 totals. Traders see little catalyst for a surge into the 65+ buckets absent breaking developments in Tesla, SpaceX, or xAI campaigns. Precursor trackers for similar short windows confirm this tempered pace, aligning trader consensus with steady but unremarkable cultural momentum around Musk's X presence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 31 12:00 PM ET to September 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Wolumen
$64,631Data zakończenia
Sep 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 12:07 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/elonmuskRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent posting patterns position the 40-64 range as the market frontrunner, with Elon Musk averaging roughly 30-40 daily posts in late August amid routine engagement on AI tools, Starlink expansions, and Grok updates. The Labor Day weekend timing adds downward pressure, as historical data shows lighter weekend volume compared to weekdays, supporting the 29% implied probability on sub-40 totals. Traders see little catalyst for a surge into the 65+ buckets absent breaking developments in Tesla, SpaceX, or xAI campaigns. Precursor trackers for similar short windows confirm this tempered pace, aligning trader consensus with steady but unremarkable cultural momentum around Musk's X presence.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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