Recent energy price surges from Middle East geopolitical tensions have driven Eurozone HICP inflation to 2.9% in July 2026 and an expected 3.3% in August, accelerating the market-implied path for the 2026 annual average. ECB June staff projections place the full-year rate at 3.0%, with a quarterly peak near 3.4% in late 2026, while the SPF survey holds at 2.7%; these upward revisions from prior baselines reflect higher energy and indirect pass-through effects. Trader consensus reflected in the 66.2% probability for a 3.1%+ outcome aligns with sustained above-target readings through year-end, amid limited near-term relief from base effects or policy easing. Key upcoming catalysts include September ECB policy decisions and September inflation prints.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoEurozone Annual Inflation 2026
Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026
3.1%+ 66.2%
2.8-3.0% 20.6%
1.0–1.2% 6.1%
2.5–2.7% 4.9%
$109,166 Wol.
$109,166 Wol.
Jan 18, 2027
<1.0%
<1%
1.0–1.2%
6%
1.3–1.5%
<1%
1.6–1.8%
4%
1.9–2.1%
1%
2.2–2.4%
1%
2.5–2.7%
5%
2.8-3.0%
21%
3.1%+
66%
3.1%+ 66.2%
2.8-3.0% 20.6%
1.0–1.2% 6.1%
2.5–2.7% 4.9%
$109,166 Wol.
$109,166 Wol.
Jan 18, 2027
<1.0%
$4,935 Wol.
<1%
1.0–1.2%
$16,156 Wol.
6%
1.3–1.5%
$16,228 Wol.
<1%
1.6–1.8%
$3,341 Wol.
4%
1.9–2.1%
$25,850 Wol.
1%
2.2–2.4%
$4,766 Wol.
1%
2.5–2.7%
$7,664 Wol.
5%
2.8-3.0%
$16,834 Wol.
21%
3.1%+
$13,392 Wol.
66%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlRecent energy price surges from Middle East geopolitical tensions have driven Eurozone HICP inflation to 2.9% in July 2026 and an expected 3.3% in August, accelerating the market-implied path for the 2026 annual average. ECB June staff projections place the full-year rate at 3.0%, with a quarterly peak near 3.4% in late 2026, while the SPF survey holds at 2.7%; these upward revisions from prior baselines reflect higher energy and indirect pass-through effects. Trader consensus reflected in the 66.2% probability for a 3.1%+ outcome aligns with sustained above-target readings through year-end, amid limited near-term relief from base effects or policy easing. Key upcoming catalysts include September ECB policy decisions and September inflation prints.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Rynek otwarty: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Wolumen
$109,166Data zakończenia
Jan 19, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlRecent energy price surges from Middle East geopolitical tensions have driven Eurozone HICP inflation to 2.9% in July 2026 and an expected 3.3% in August, accelerating the market-implied path for the 2026 annual average. ECB June staff projections place the full-year rate at 3.0%, with a quarterly peak near 3.4% in late 2026, while the SPF survey holds at 2.7%; these upward revisions from prior baselines reflect higher energy and indirect pass-through effects. Trader consensus reflected in the 66.2% probability for a 3.1%+ outcome aligns with sustained above-target readings through year-end, amid limited near-term relief from base effects or policy easing. Key upcoming catalysts include September ECB policy decisions and September inflation prints.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Wolumen
$109,166Data zakończenia
Jan 19, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Recent energy price surges from Middle East geopolitical tensions have driven Eurozone HICP inflation to 2.9% in July 2026 and an expected 3.3% in August, accelerating the market-implied path for the 2026 annual average. ECB June staff projections place the full-year rate at 3.0%, with a quarterly peak near 3.4% in late 2026, while the SPF survey holds at 2.7%; these upward revisions from prior baselines reflect higher energy and indirect pass-through effects. Trader consensus reflected in the 66.2% probability for a 3.1%+ outcome aligns with sustained above-target readings through year-end, amid limited near-term relief from base effects or policy easing. Key upcoming catalysts include September ECB policy decisions and September inflation prints.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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