Recent U.S. CPI data show year-over-year inflation peaking at 4.2 percent in May 2026 before easing to 3.4 percent in August, with core measures also moderating but remaining above the Federal Reserve’s 2 percent target. The FOMC’s September 16 decision to raise the federal funds rate to the 3.75–4 percent range for the first time since 2023 underscores policymakers’ focus on upside inflation risks amid resilient growth and strong productivity. Market participants are monitoring upcoming monthly CPI releases and the October FOMC meeting for signals on whether price pressures reaccelerate or continue their recent decline, with the year’s highest 12-month reading determining the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoFederal Reserve raises interest rates by 25 basis points to 3.75-4.00% to combat inflation
Above 8% plunges to 3%35%
On September 16, 2026, the Federal Open Market Committee unanimously voted to raise the federal funds rate by 25 basis points, marking the first hike since 2023, signaling a more aggressive stance to reduce inflation, which influenced market pricing for inflation above 8%.
Federal Reserve raises interest rates to 3.75%-4.00% to combat persistent inflation
Above 4.5% jumps to 19%7%
In response to elevated inflation data, the Federal Reserve increased the federal funds rate by 25 basis points, the first hike since 2023, signaling a commitment to return inflation to the 2% target. This policy action reinforced market expectations of sustained inflation above 4.5% and 6%, impacting the prediction market prices.
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