Recent August CPI data showed headline inflation holding steady at 3.4% year over year, with a 0.4% monthly gain driven largely by a 3.9% surge in gasoline prices, while core CPI eased to 2.4%. The Cleveland Fed’s September nowcast sits at 3.43%, and analyst forecasts cluster between 3.4% and 3.7% amid ongoing energy volatility from Middle East supply concerns, resilient shelter costs, and selective AI-related demand pressures. These crosscurrents create a narrow distribution favoring 3.5% and 3.6% outcomes, with traders weighing the potential for further energy pass-through against any core moderation ahead of the October 14 release. Market-implied odds reflect real-capital consensus on these near-term data dependencies rather than a decisive directional signal.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSeptember Inflation US - Annual
September Inflation US - Annual
3.5% 38%
3.6% 32%
3.4% 21%
3.7% 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 14, 2026
≤2.9%
2%
3.0%
3%
3.1%
4%
3.2%
4%
3.3%
2%
3.4%
21%
3.5%
38%
3.6%
32%
3.7%
8%
3.8%
5%
3.9%
4%
≥4.0%
3%
3.5% 38%
3.6% 32%
3.4% 21%
3.7% 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 14, 2026
≤2.9%
$152 Wol.
2%
3.0%
$136 Wol.
3%
3.1%
$335 Wol.
4%
3.2%
$258 Wol.
4%
3.3%
$414 Wol.
2%
3.4%
$785 Wol.
21%
3.5%
$1,565 Wol.
38%
3.6%
$901 Wol.
32%
3.7%
$378 Wol.
8%
3.8%
$123 Wol.
5%
3.9%
$377 Wol.
4%
≥4.0%
$198 Wol.
3%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August CPI data showed headline inflation holding steady at 3.4% year over year, with a 0.4% monthly gain driven largely by a 3.9% surge in gasoline prices, while core CPI eased to 2.4%. The Cleveland Fed’s September nowcast sits at 3.43%, and analyst forecasts cluster between 3.4% and 3.7% amid ongoing energy volatility from Middle East supply concerns, resilient shelter costs, and selective AI-related demand pressures. These crosscurrents create a narrow distribution favoring 3.5% and 3.6% outcomes, with traders weighing the potential for further energy pass-through against any core moderation ahead of the October 14 release. Market-implied odds reflect real-capital consensus on these near-term data dependencies rather than a decisive directional signal.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 11, 2026, 11:27 AM ET
Wolumen
$5,624Data zakończenia
Oct 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 11:27 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August CPI data showed headline inflation holding steady at 3.4% year over year, with a 0.4% monthly gain driven largely by a 3.9% surge in gasoline prices, while core CPI eased to 2.4%. The Cleveland Fed’s September nowcast sits at 3.43%, and analyst forecasts cluster between 3.4% and 3.7% amid ongoing energy volatility from Middle East supply concerns, resilient shelter costs, and selective AI-related demand pressures. These crosscurrents create a narrow distribution favoring 3.5% and 3.6% outcomes, with traders weighing the potential for further energy pass-through against any core moderation ahead of the October 14 release. Market-implied odds reflect real-capital consensus on these near-term data dependencies rather than a decisive directional signal.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Wolumen
$5,624Data zakończenia
Oct 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 11:27 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent August CPI data showed headline inflation holding steady at 3.4% year over year, with a 0.4% monthly gain driven largely by a 3.9% surge in gasoline prices, while core CPI eased to 2.4%. The Cleveland Fed’s September nowcast sits at 3.43%, and analyst forecasts cluster between 3.4% and 3.7% amid ongoing energy volatility from Middle East supply concerns, resilient shelter costs, and selective AI-related demand pressures. These crosscurrents create a narrow distribution favoring 3.5% and 3.6% outcomes, with traders weighing the potential for further energy pass-through against any core moderation ahead of the October 14 release. Market-implied odds reflect real-capital consensus on these near-term data dependencies rather than a decisive directional signal.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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