Recent producer price data and upstream cost pressures are shaping trader positioning ahead of the September 2026 PPI year-over-year release, with the spread across outcomes from ≤5.0% to 5.9%+ reflecting uncertainty in the inflation trajectory. August CPI and PPI prints, combined with volatile energy and commodity prices, have kept expectations fluid, while labor-market indicators and supply-chain metrics suggest moderating but still-elevated input costs. Market-implied odds currently favor readings near 5.7–5.9%, consistent with the latest official releases and analyst estimates, though any surprise in September import prices or core goods inflation could shift probabilities. Traders are watching the next FOMC communications and upcoming employment data for signals on whether monetary policy will sustain the current disinflation path or allow a reacceleration in producer costs.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPPI YoY - September 2026
5.9%+ 30%
5.7% 18%
5.8% 14%
≤5.0% 13.0%
≤5.0%
10%
5.1%
4%
5.2%
6%
5.3%
11%
5.4%
6%
5.5%
9%
5.6%
6%
5.7%
18%
5.8%
14%
5.9%+
30%
5.9%+ 30%
5.7% 18%
5.8% 14%
≤5.0% 13.0%
≤5.0%
10%
5.1%
4%
5.2%
6%
5.3%
11%
5.4%
6%
5.5%
9%
5.6%
6%
5.7%
18%
5.8%
14%
5.9%+
30%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on October 15, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 11, 2026, 3:48 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.bls.gov/ppi/Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on October 15, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.bls.gov/ppi/Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent producer price data and upstream cost pressures are shaping trader positioning ahead of the September 2026 PPI year-over-year release, with the spread across outcomes from ≤5.0% to 5.9%+ reflecting uncertainty in the inflation trajectory. August CPI and PPI prints, combined with volatile energy and commodity prices, have kept expectations fluid, while labor-market indicators and supply-chain metrics suggest moderating but still-elevated input costs. Market-implied odds currently favor readings near 5.7–5.9%, consistent with the latest official releases and analyst estimates, though any surprise in September import prices or core goods inflation could shift probabilities. Traders are watching the next FOMC communications and upcoming employment data for signals on whether monetary policy will sustain the current disinflation path or allow a reacceleration in producer costs.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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