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icon for John Fetterman out by...?

John Fetterman out by...?

icon for John Fetterman out by...?

John Fetterman out by...?

$63,783 Wol.

Dec 30, 2026
Polymarket

$63,783 Wol.

Polymarket

September 30

$40,100 Wol.

2%

December 31

$23,683 Wol.

4%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Recent developments have intensified speculation about Sen. John Fetterman’s (D-Pa.) Senate tenure despite no formal indications of resignation.** A Wall Street Journal report in early September 2026 detailed allegations from former staffers that Fetterman has skipped hearings, constituent meetings, and routine duties while prioritizing media and Israel-related advocacy, prompting public calls from Pennsylvania Democrats—including former Rep. Conor Lamb—to step down. His surprise video appearance at the Republican midterm convention on September 9, introducing GOP Sen. Dave McCormick and praising cooperation with President Trump on steel issues, further fueled party-switch rumors, though Fetterman immediately reaffirmed he is a lifelong Democrat who will caucus with his party and vote with it on key matters. Official records confirm he remains in office with no resignation filed; his term runs through January 2029. Trader sentiment reflects ongoing Democratic backlash, his maverick voting record, and low approval among his own party, balanced against his consistent denials of departure plans and the absence of concrete exit triggers before scheduled elections or primary challenges in 2028.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$63,783
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 10:34 AM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Recent developments have intensified speculation about Sen. John Fetterman’s (D-Pa.) Senate tenure despite no formal indications of resignation.** A Wall Street Journal report in early September 2026 detailed allegations from former staffers that Fetterman has skipped hearings, constituent meetings, and routine duties while prioritizing media and Israel-related advocacy, prompting public calls from Pennsylvania Democrats—including former Rep. Conor Lamb—to step down. His surprise video appearance at the Republican midterm convention on September 9, introducing GOP Sen. Dave McCormick and praising cooperation with President Trump on steel issues, further fueled party-switch rumors, though Fetterman immediately reaffirmed he is a lifelong Democrat who will caucus with his party and vote with it on key matters. Official records confirm he remains in office with no resignation filed; his term runs through January 2029. Trader sentiment reflects ongoing Democratic backlash, his maverick voting record, and low approval among his own party, balanced against his consistent denials of departure plans and the absence of concrete exit triggers before scheduled elections or primary challenges in 2028.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$63,783
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 10:34 AM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x65070BE91...

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Często zadawane pytania

"John Fetterman out by...?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 2 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "December 31" z 4%, za nim "September 30" z 2%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 4¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 4% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "John Fetterman out by...?" wygenerował $63.8K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Nov 14, 2025. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "John Fetterman out by...?", przeglądaj 2 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

To szeroko otwarty rynek. Obecnym liderem dla "John Fetterman out by...?" jest "December 31" z zaledwie 4%, a za nim "September 30" z 2%. Brak wyniku z wyraźną większością — traderzy widzą to jako wysoce niepewne, co może stwarzać unikalne okazje handlowe. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, więc dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby obserwować ewolucję prawdopodobieństw.

Zasady rozstrzygania "John Fetterman out by...?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.