Iowa's 3rd Congressional District remains a competitive battleground with a Cook Partisan Voting Index near R+2, where recent cycles produced margins under four points. Incumbent Zach Nunn secured narrow victories in 2022 and 2024, while Democratic nominee Sarah Trone Garriott, a state senator with a record of winning Republican-leaning areas, has matched or exceeded his fundraising totals ahead of the November 3 general election. Both candidates ran unopposed in June primaries, and forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in the current pricing appears driven by midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party, the district's swing character, and Trone Garriott's targeted campaign on issues such as healthcare access and tariffs.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIA-03 House Election Winner
IA-03 House Election Winner
$10,713 Wol.
$10,713 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Sarah Trone Garriott (D)
77%
Zach Nunn (R)
24%
$10,713 Wol.
$10,713 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Sarah Trone Garriott (D)
$4,565 Wol.
77%
Zach Nunn (R)
$6,148 Wol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa's 3rd Congressional District remains a competitive battleground with a Cook Partisan Voting Index near R+2, where recent cycles produced margins under four points. Incumbent Zach Nunn secured narrow victories in 2022 and 2024, while Democratic nominee Sarah Trone Garriott, a state senator with a record of winning Republican-leaning areas, has matched or exceeded his fundraising totals ahead of the November 3 general election. Both candidates ran unopposed in June primaries, and forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in the current pricing appears driven by midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party, the district's swing character, and Trone Garriott's targeted campaign on issues such as healthcare access and tariffs.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
Wolumen
$10,713Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa's 3rd Congressional District remains a competitive battleground with a Cook Partisan Voting Index near R+2, where recent cycles produced margins under four points. Incumbent Zach Nunn secured narrow victories in 2022 and 2024, while Democratic nominee Sarah Trone Garriott, a state senator with a record of winning Republican-leaning areas, has matched or exceeded his fundraising totals ahead of the November 3 general election. Both candidates ran unopposed in June primaries, and forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in the current pricing appears driven by midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party, the district's swing character, and Trone Garriott's targeted campaign on issues such as healthcare access and tariffs.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$10,713Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa's 3rd Congressional District remains a competitive battleground with a Cook Partisan Voting Index near R+2, where recent cycles produced margins under four points. Incumbent Zach Nunn secured narrow victories in 2022 and 2024, while Democratic nominee Sarah Trone Garriott, a state senator with a record of winning Republican-leaning areas, has matched or exceeded his fundraising totals ahead of the November 3 general election. Both candidates ran unopposed in June primaries, and forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in the current pricing appears driven by midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party, the district's swing character, and Trone Garriott's targeted campaign on issues such as healthcare access and tariffs.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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