Iowa's 4th Congressional District carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+15 and holds solid or safe Republican ratings from multiple forecasters, reflecting consistent GOP performance in recent presidential and congressional cycles. The open seat, created after incumbent Randy Feenstra pursued the governorship, features Republican nominee Chris McGowan, who secured his party's nomination without opposition and maintains strong local ties through his role as Siouxland Chamber of Commerce president. Democrat Dave Dawson advanced from a three-way primary but faces structural disadvantages in this northwestern Iowa district. Trader consensus at 93.5% for McGowan aligns with the district's baseline voting patterns and fundraising edge. A major late-cycle development such as a candidate withdrawal, significant scandal, or sharp national political shift would be required to meaningfully narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIA-04 House Election Winner
IA-04 House Election Winner
$35,744 Wol.
$35,744 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Chris McGowan (R)
93%
David Dawson (D)
7%
$35,744 Wol.
$35,744 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Chris McGowan (R)
$21,758 Wol.
93%
David Dawson (D)
$13,986 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa's 4th Congressional District carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+15 and holds solid or safe Republican ratings from multiple forecasters, reflecting consistent GOP performance in recent presidential and congressional cycles. The open seat, created after incumbent Randy Feenstra pursued the governorship, features Republican nominee Chris McGowan, who secured his party's nomination without opposition and maintains strong local ties through his role as Siouxland Chamber of Commerce president. Democrat Dave Dawson advanced from a three-way primary but faces structural disadvantages in this northwestern Iowa district. Trader consensus at 93.5% for McGowan aligns with the district's baseline voting patterns and fundraising edge. A major late-cycle development such as a candidate withdrawal, significant scandal, or sharp national political shift would be required to meaningfully narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Wolumen
$35,744Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa's 4th Congressional District carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+15 and holds solid or safe Republican ratings from multiple forecasters, reflecting consistent GOP performance in recent presidential and congressional cycles. The open seat, created after incumbent Randy Feenstra pursued the governorship, features Republican nominee Chris McGowan, who secured his party's nomination without opposition and maintains strong local ties through his role as Siouxland Chamber of Commerce president. Democrat Dave Dawson advanced from a three-way primary but faces structural disadvantages in this northwestern Iowa district. Trader consensus at 93.5% for McGowan aligns with the district's baseline voting patterns and fundraising edge. A major late-cycle development such as a candidate withdrawal, significant scandal, or sharp national political shift would be required to meaningfully narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$35,744Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa's 4th Congressional District carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+15 and holds solid or safe Republican ratings from multiple forecasters, reflecting consistent GOP performance in recent presidential and congressional cycles. The open seat, created after incumbent Randy Feenstra pursued the governorship, features Republican nominee Chris McGowan, who secured his party's nomination without opposition and maintains strong local ties through his role as Siouxland Chamber of Commerce president. Democrat Dave Dawson advanced from a three-way primary but faces structural disadvantages in this northwestern Iowa district. Trader consensus at 93.5% for McGowan aligns with the district's baseline voting patterns and fundraising edge. A major late-cycle development such as a candidate withdrawal, significant scandal, or sharp national political shift would be required to meaningfully narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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