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icon for Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
Polityka·Krzesło Fed

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

icon for Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
Polityka·Krzesło Fed

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

$446,277 Wol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$446,277 Wol.

Polymarket

December 31

$159,686 Wol.

16%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.**Powell's decision to remain a Federal Reserve governor after his May 15, 2026, chair term ended has anchored trader sentiment around his board tenure, which runs through January 2028.** He cited legal and political pressures from the Trump administration as reasons for staying, becoming the first ex-chair to do so since 1948 and limiting opportunities for a new appointee. Kevin Warsh's confirmation as chair shifted policy focus, yet Powell's presence on the seven-member board sustains debate over independence and potential removal attempts, which require statutory "for cause" justification. The August 2026 off-market sale of his $7.2 million Maryland waterfront property signals personal transition but does not alter his formal term. Key near-term catalysts include FOMC meetings under Warsh, any administration filings, and court outcomes on related independence challenges, with market-implied probabilities reflecting these structural and political constraints rather than imminent exit.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Wolumen
$446,277
Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.**Powell's decision to remain a Federal Reserve governor after his May 15, 2026, chair term ended has anchored trader sentiment around his board tenure, which runs through January 2028.** He cited legal and political pressures from the Trump administration as reasons for staying, becoming the first ex-chair to do so since 1948 and limiting opportunities for a new appointee. Kevin Warsh's confirmation as chair shifted policy focus, yet Powell's presence on the seven-member board sustains debate over independence and potential removal attempts, which require statutory "for cause" justification. The August 2026 off-market sale of his $7.2 million Maryland waterfront property signals personal transition but does not alter his formal term. Key near-term catalysts include FOMC meetings under Warsh, any administration filings, and court outcomes on related independence challenges, with market-implied probabilities reflecting these structural and political constraints rather than imminent exit.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Wolumen
$446,277
Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x65070BE91...

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Często zadawane pytania

"Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 2 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "December 31" z 16%, za nim "May 30" z 0%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 16¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 16% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?" wygenerował $446.3K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Jan 5, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?", przeglądaj 2 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?" jest "December 31" z 16%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 16% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "May 30" z 0%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.