**The ongoing legal dispute over Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook’s removal centers on the Federal Reserve Act’s “for cause” standard, which the Supreme Court’s June 2026 5-4 decision interpreted as requiring notice and an opportunity to respond before any presidential action.** Trump’s August 2026 renewed effort—sending formal notice citing pre-appointment mortgage allegations and setting an August 26 response deadline—has triggered further litigation, with Cook’s counsel rejecting the claims as unfounded and politically motivated. Traders are pricing in the extended timeline of lower-court proceedings and potential additional appeals, which reinforce the central bank’s historical insulation from direct executive control and limit near-term removal odds. Key upcoming catalysts include the pace of district-court review, any new procedural steps by the administration, and broader monetary-policy signals from upcoming FOMC meetings that could influence sentiment around Fed independence. Market-implied probabilities reflect the high bar for “for cause” removal and the precedent protecting staggered 14-year terms.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNOWE
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
3%
October 31
4%
November 30
7%
December 31
6%
$7,586 Wol.
September 30
$2,416 Wol.
3%
October 31
$2,626 Wol.
4%
November 30
$1,041 Wol.
7%
December 31
$1,504 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.**The ongoing legal dispute over Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook’s removal centers on the Federal Reserve Act’s “for cause” standard, which the Supreme Court’s June 2026 5-4 decision interpreted as requiring notice and an opportunity to respond before any presidential action.** Trump’s August 2026 renewed effort—sending formal notice citing pre-appointment mortgage allegations and setting an August 26 response deadline—has triggered further litigation, with Cook’s counsel rejecting the claims as unfounded and politically motivated. Traders are pricing in the extended timeline of lower-court proceedings and potential additional appeals, which reinforce the central bank’s historical insulation from direct executive control and limit near-term removal odds. Key upcoming catalysts include the pace of district-court review, any new procedural steps by the administration, and broader monetary-policy signals from upcoming FOMC meetings that could influence sentiment around Fed independence. Market-implied probabilities reflect the high bar for “for cause” removal and the precedent protecting staggered 14-year terms.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Wolumen
$7,586Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.**The ongoing legal dispute over Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook’s removal centers on the Federal Reserve Act’s “for cause” standard, which the Supreme Court’s June 2026 5-4 decision interpreted as requiring notice and an opportunity to respond before any presidential action.** Trump’s August 2026 renewed effort—sending formal notice citing pre-appointment mortgage allegations and setting an August 26 response deadline—has triggered further litigation, with Cook’s counsel rejecting the claims as unfounded and politically motivated. Traders are pricing in the extended timeline of lower-court proceedings and potential additional appeals, which reinforce the central bank’s historical insulation from direct executive control and limit near-term removal odds. Key upcoming catalysts include the pace of district-court review, any new procedural steps by the administration, and broader monetary-policy signals from upcoming FOMC meetings that could influence sentiment around Fed independence. Market-implied probabilities reflect the high bar for “for cause” removal and the precedent protecting staggered 14-year terms.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Wolumen
$7,586Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...**The ongoing legal dispute over Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook’s removal centers on the Federal Reserve Act’s “for cause” standard, which the Supreme Court’s June 2026 5-4 decision interpreted as requiring notice and an opportunity to respond before any presidential action.** Trump’s August 2026 renewed effort—sending formal notice citing pre-appointment mortgage allegations and setting an August 26 response deadline—has triggered further litigation, with Cook’s counsel rejecting the claims as unfounded and politically motivated. Traders are pricing in the extended timeline of lower-court proceedings and potential additional appeals, which reinforce the central bank’s historical insulation from direct executive control and limit near-term removal odds. Key upcoming catalysts include the pace of district-court review, any new procedural steps by the administration, and broader monetary-policy signals from upcoming FOMC meetings that could influence sentiment around Fed independence. Market-implied probabilities reflect the high bar for “for cause” removal and the precedent protecting staggered 14-year terms.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania