Anthropic’s rapid frontier model cadence after the June 9, 2026 launch of Claude Fable 5 and restricted Claude Mythos 5 is the main driver pushing trader consensus toward an early September release for the next Mythos-class large language model. The prior cycle—from April preview to public availability—established a roughly three-month benchmark that markets now treat as precedent amid ongoing competitive pressure from OpenAI, Google, and others in agentic coding and reasoning benchmarks. Recent developer signals and internal timeline inferences have shifted implied probabilities sharply earlier, with high odds on a qualifying public release by early September and near-certainty by month-end. Key upcoming catalysts include any official announcements, API expansions, or Text Arena leaderboard debuts that could confirm or delay the timeline, while access restrictions and safety evaluations remain the primary variables that could alter resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNext Mythos-Class Model released by…?
Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?
$872,711 Wol.
Sep 14, 2026
August 31
5%
September 1
56%
September 2
65%
September 4
77%
September 7
80%
September 9
88%
September 15
89%
September 30
92%
October 31
96%
$872,711 Wol.
August 31
$361,402 Wol.
5%
September 1
$48,590 Wol.
56%
September 2
$25,732 Wol.
65%
September 4
$20,789 Wol.
77%
September 7
$15,250 Wol.
80%
September 9
$93,325 Wol.
88%
September 15
$52,204 Wol.
89%
September 30
$179,961 Wol.
92%
October 31
$33,384 Wol.
96%
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Anthropic’s rapid frontier model cadence after the June 9, 2026 launch of Claude Fable 5 and restricted Claude Mythos 5 is the main driver pushing trader consensus toward an early September release for the next Mythos-class large language model. The prior cycle—from April preview to public availability—established a roughly three-month benchmark that markets now treat as precedent amid ongoing competitive pressure from OpenAI, Google, and others in agentic coding and reasoning benchmarks. Recent developer signals and internal timeline inferences have shifted implied probabilities sharply earlier, with high odds on a qualifying public release by early September and near-certainty by month-end. Key upcoming catalysts include any official announcements, API expansions, or Text Arena leaderboard debuts that could confirm or delay the timeline, while access restrictions and safety evaluations remain the primary variables that could alter resolution.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 6, 2026, 9:37 AM ET
Wolumen
$872,711Data zakończenia
Oct 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 9:37 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Anthropic’s rapid frontier model cadence after the June 9, 2026 launch of Claude Fable 5 and restricted Claude Mythos 5 is the main driver pushing trader consensus toward an early September release for the next Mythos-class large language model. The prior cycle—from April preview to public availability—established a roughly three-month benchmark that markets now treat as precedent amid ongoing competitive pressure from OpenAI, Google, and others in agentic coding and reasoning benchmarks. Recent developer signals and internal timeline inferences have shifted implied probabilities sharply earlier, with high odds on a qualifying public release by early September and near-certainty by month-end. Key upcoming catalysts include any official announcements, API expansions, or Text Arena leaderboard debuts that could confirm or delay the timeline, while access restrictions and safety evaluations remain the primary variables that could alter resolution.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$872,711Data zakończenia
Oct 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 9:37 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s rapid frontier model cadence after the June 9, 2026 launch of Claude Fable 5 and restricted Claude Mythos 5 is the main driver pushing trader consensus toward an early September release for the next Mythos-class large language model. The prior cycle—from April preview to public availability—established a roughly three-month benchmark that markets now treat as precedent amid ongoing competitive pressure from OpenAI, Google, and others in agentic coding and reasoning benchmarks. Recent developer signals and internal timeline inferences have shifted implied probabilities sharply earlier, with high odds on a qualifying public release by early September and near-certainty by month-end. Key upcoming catalysts include any official announcements, API expansions, or Text Arena leaderboard debuts that could confirm or delay the timeline, while access restrictions and safety evaluations remain the primary variables that could alter resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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